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LaLiga2
Lugo
S U S S T
2–1
Full-time
Leganes
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 18. · Leganes 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vallecano 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Alcorcon 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Fuenlabrada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Tenerife 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Castellon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Malaga 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Oviedo 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Mirandes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Cartagena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Sabadell 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Mallorca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Logrones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,91
U
2,95
B
2,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,64
U2,5
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.