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LaLiga2
Referee: José Guzmán
Burgos
S U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Ferrol
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
30%
30%
Both score Ø 30%
30%
30%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 7
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 13. · Ferrol 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 11 8 2 1 +9 26
2 Zaragoza 11 6 1 4 +7 19
3 Granada 11 5 4 2 +5 19
4 Oviedo 11 5 4 2 +3 19
5 Levante 11 5 3 3 +3 18
6 Eibar 11 5 3 3 +1 18
7 Mirandes 11 5 3 3 +1 18
8 Huesca 10 5 2 3 +6 17
9 Castellon 11 5 1 5 +3 16
10 Sp Gijon 10 4 3 3 +3 15
11 Elche 11 4 3 4 +1 15
12 Almeria 11 4 3 4 -1 15
13 Burgos 10 4 2 4 -1 14
14 Albacete 11 4 2 5 -2 14
15 Malaga 10 2 7 1 -1 13
16 Eldense 11 3 3 5 -3 12
17 Cordoba 11 3 3 5 -4 12
18 La Coruna 11 2 4 5 -3 10
19 Ferrol 10 2 4 4 -5 10
20 Cadiz 11 2 4 5 -6 10
21 Cartagena 11 2 1 8 -8 7
22 Tenerife 10 1 2 7 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Ferrol
28′
🟨 Róber
1–0 Borja Sánchez
Curro Sánchez
30′
39′
🟨 Naldo
Half-time 1–1
46′
Aitor Gelardo 1–1
Rober Correa
46′
🔁 Julián Delmás
↦ Rober Correa
46′
🔁 Aitor Buñuel
↦ Moi Delgado
Fer Niño 🔁
↦ Borja Sánchez
57′
60′
🔁 Manu Vallejo
↦ Josué Dorrio
66′
🔁 Chiki
↦ Aitor Gelardo
F. Miguel 🔁
↦ David González
71′
Pipa 🔁
↦ Ian Forns
71′
79′
🔁 David Castro
↦ Álvaro Giménez
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ A. Arroyo
81′
T. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
81′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
2 L. López D
38 Ian Forns D
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
23 Iván Morante M
5 Miguel Atienza M
10 Borja Sánchez M
14 David González F
16 Curro Sánchez F
Bench (11)
9 Fer Niño
3 F. Miguel
20 Pipa
19 Edu Espiau
22 T. Rodríguez
32 Hugo Pascual
6 Raúl Navarro
33 Marcelo Expósito
1 L. Badiashile
27 David López
39 G. Nsukula

Coach: Bolo

Ferrol

4-4-2
25 Jesús Ruiz G
3 Rober Correa D
4 A. Puric D
5 Naldo D
21 Moi Delgado D
17 Josué Dorrio M
16 Fran Manzanara M
6 Álvaro Sanz M
14 Aitor Gelardo M
9 Eneko Jauregi F
20 Álvaro Giménez F
Bench (10)
2 Julián Delmás
22 Aitor Buñuel
19 Manu Vallejo
7 Chiki
15 David Castro
13 Yoel Rodríguez
11 Nacho Sánchez
12 Bebé
1 Emilio Bernad
26 David Carballo

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
U ✓
3,07
B
4,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,36
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Guzmán · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.