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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax
Santander
S T T S S
3–0
Full-time
Burgos
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 45%
45%
45%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
64%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 8. · Burgos 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 12 8 1 3 +14 25
2 Espanol 12 7 2 3 +10 23
3 Levante 12 6 5 1 +6 23
4 Tenerife 12 7 2 3 +5 23
5 Eibar 12 7 1 4 +4 22
6 Zaragoza 12 6 2 4 +4 20
7 Valladolid 11 6 1 4 +2 19
8 Santander 11 5 3 3 +3 18
9 Sp Gijon 11 5 3 3 +3 18
10 Ferrol 12 4 5 3 -1 17
11 Burgos 11 5 1 5 +1 16
12 Elche 12 4 4 4 -4 16
13 Oviedo 12 3 5 4 +2 14
14 Mirandes 12 4 2 6 -2 14
15 Albacete 11 4 2 5 -4 14
16 Villarreal B 12 3 4 5 -2 13
17 Andorra 11 4 1 6 -4 13
18 Eldense 12 3 4 5 -6 13
19 Amorebieta 12 2 4 6 -7 10
20 Alcorcon 11 2 3 6 -9 9
21 Huesca 12 1 5 6 -6 8
22 Cartagena 11 1 2 8 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Burgos
31′
🟨 Esteban Saveljich
1–0 Peque Fernández
Andrés Martín
32′
38′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Álex Bermejo
40′
ℹ️ Daniel Ojeda
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Grego
↦ E. Saveljich
2–0 Álvaro Mantilla
Iñigo Vicente
50′
Ekain Zenitagoia 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
59′
Iván Morante 🟨
61′
61′
🔁 K. Appin
↦ Miguel Atienza
61′
🔁 Ander Martín
↦ Unai Elgezabal
72′
🟨 Grego Sierra
Aritz Aldasoro 🔁
↦ Iván Morante
73′
Marco Sangalli 🔁
↦ Peque Fernández
73′
76′
🔁 Álex Sancris
↦ Raúl Navarro
3–0 Ekain Zenitagoia
Marco Sangalli
77′
L. Junior 🔁
↦ Iñigo Vicente
84′
Rubén Alves 🔁
↦ Germán Sánchez
84′
86′
🟨 Kevin Appin
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
23 Dani Fernández D
5 Germán Sánchez D
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
3 Saúl García D
16 Iván Morante M
19 C. Grenier M
11 Andrés Martín M
17 Peque Fernández M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (12)
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
21 Aritz Aldasoro
7 Marco Sangalli
20 L. Junior
15 Rubén Alves
1 Miquel Parera
27 Yeray Cabanzón
8 Jorge Pombo
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza
22 Juan Gutiérrez
4 Pol Moreno
40 Mario García

Coach: José Alberto López

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Caro G
6 Raúl Navarro D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
24 E. Saveljich D
23 José Matos D
7 Dani Ojeda M
14 Unai Elgezabal M
5 Miguel Atienza M
10 Álex Bermejo M
19 Edu Espiau F
16 Curro Sánchez F
Bench (11)
22 Miki Muñoz
20 Grego
12 K. Appin
8 Ander Martín
11 Álex Sancris
1 L. Badiashile
2 Borja González
30 Lucas Ricoy
17 Andy
26 S. Rodríguez
27 Javi López

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,21
U
3,14
B
3,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Salvador Lax · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.