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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Burgos
T U T S T
0–2
Full-time
Sp Gijon
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
31%
46%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
31%
54%
Both score Ø 54%
38%
69%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 16. · Sp Gijon 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 13 9 3 1 +10 30
2 Zaragoza 14 7 2 5 +7 23
3 Sp Gijon 13 6 4 3 +6 22
4 Granada 14 6 4 4 +4 22
5 Oviedo 13 6 4 3 +3 22
6 Mirandes 14 6 4 4 +2 22
7 Levante 12 6 3 3 +4 21
8 Elche 14 6 3 5 +3 21
9 Castellon 13 6 2 5 +4 20
10 Malaga 13 4 8 1 +1 20
11 Huesca 13 5 4 4 +5 19
12 Almeria 13 5 4 4 +0 19
13 Eibar 13 5 3 5 -2 18
14 Albacete 13 4 4 5 -2 16
15 Cordoba 13 4 4 5 -2 16
16 Burgos 13 4 3 6 -4 15
17 Cadiz 14 3 5 6 -6 14
18 La Coruna 13 3 4 6 +0 13
19 Ferrol 12 2 6 4 -5 12
20 Eldense 13 3 3 7 -6 12
21 Tenerife 13 2 4 7 -7 10
22 Cartagena 14 2 1 11 -15 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Sp Gijon
Álex Sancris 🟨
35′
39′
J. Otero 0–1
Half-time 0–1
61′
🔁 Nacho Martín
↦ César Gelabert
62′
🔁 N. Maraš
↦ Diego Sánchez
Dani Ojeda 🔁
↦ Borja Sánchez
65′
Ian Forns 🔁
↦ F. Miguel
65′
David González 🔁
↦ Álex Sancris
65′
75′
🔁 Dani Queipo
↦ Gaspar Campos
75′
🔁 Víctor Campuzano
↦ J. Otero
78′
Jonathan Dubasin 0–2
Pablo García
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
79′
80′
🟨 Nikola Maraš
89′
🔁 Kevin Vázquez
↦ Guille Rosas
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
2 L. López D
3 F. Miguel D
23 Iván Morante M
5 Miguel Atienza M
11 Álex Sancris M
16 Curro Sánchez M
10 Borja Sánchez M
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (12)
7 Dani Ojeda
38 Ian Forns
14 David González
19 Edu Espiau
17 Javi López-Pinto
1 L. Badiashile
27 David López
37 Marc Monedero
33 Marcelo Expósito
22 T. Rodríguez
20 Pipa
32 Hugo Pascual

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Sp Gijon

4-3-3
1 Rubén Yáñez G
2 Guille Rosas D
4 Róber Pier D
22 Diego Sánchez D
5 Pablo García D
18 César Gelabert M
14 Lander Olaetxea M
10 Nacho Méndez M
17 Jonathan Dubasin F
19 J. Otero F
7 Gaspar Campos F
Bench (11)
6 Nacho Martín
15 N. Maraš
9 Dani Queipo
11 Víctor Campuzano
20 Kevin Vázquez
16 J. Caicedo
27 Álex Oyón
29 Y. Kembo
28 P. Mbemba
3 Cote
13 C. Sánchez

Coach: Rubén Albés

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,52
U
2,90
B ✓
3,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.