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LaLiga2
Referee: Carlos Muñiz
Ferrol
T U U U S
1–5
Full-time
Oviedo
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferrol Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
12%
41%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
24%
53%
Both score Ø 41%
35%
47%
Average goals
1,5
2,6
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 26
2 Shots on target 15
4 Blocked shots 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ferrol 20. · Oviedo 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 18 11 4 3 +9 37
2 Mirandes 18 10 4 4 +7 34
3 Almeria 17 9 4 4 +7 31
4 Sp Gijon 17 8 5 4 +9 29
5 Elche 18 8 5 5 +8 29
6 Granada 18 8 5 5 +7 29
7 Levante 17 8 5 4 +7 29
8 Huesca 18 7 5 6 +7 26
9 Zaragoza 18 7 5 6 +6 26
10 Oviedo 17 7 5 5 -2 26
11 Castellon 17 7 4 6 +4 25
12 Eibar 18 7 3 8 -2 24
13 Albacete 17 6 5 6 -2 23
14 Malaga 17 4 10 3 -3 22
15 La Coruna 18 5 6 7 +2 21
16 Eldense 17 5 4 8 -4 19
17 Cadiz 18 4 6 8 -7 18
18 Burgos 17 5 3 9 -9 18
19 Cordoba 17 4 5 8 -10 17
20 Ferrol 17 2 9 6 -8 15
21 Tenerife 16 2 5 9 -10 11
22 Cartagena 17 3 1 13 -16 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ferrol Oviedo
17′
🔁 K. Sibo
↦ Jaime Seoane
42′
Santi Cazorla 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Álvaro Giménez 🔁
↦ Aitor Gelardo
46′
Bebé 🔁
↦ Julián Delmás
46′
David Castro 🟨
50′
52′
Lucas Ahijado 0–2
Luis Perea 🔁
↦ Josep Señé
62′
62′
🔁 Portillo
↦ Santi Cazorla
62′
🔁 H. Hassan
↦ F. Viñas
63′
Portillo 0–3
H. Hassan
Rober Correa 🔁
↦ Aitor Buñuel
66′
73′
🔁 Sebas Moyano
↦ I. Chaira
74′
🔁 Alberto del Moral
↦ S. Colombatto
Álvaro Sanz Catalán 🟨
83′
Christian Borrego ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
85′
86′
🟨 Dani Calvo
Manu Vallejo 🔁
↦ Chiki
87′
1–3 Álvaro Giménez
87′
91′
Alemão 1–4
Alberto del Moral
98′
Alemão 1–5
H. Hassan
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Ferrol

4-3-3
25 Jesús Ruiz G
2 Julián Delmás D
4 A. Puric D
15 David Castro D
22 Aitor Buñuel D
6 Álvaro Sanz M
10 Josep Señé M
14 Aitor Gelardo M
11 Nacho Sánchez F
7 Chiki F
17 Josué Dorrio F
Bench (8)
20 Álvaro Giménez
12 Bebé
24 Luis Perea
3 Rober Correa
19 Manu Vallejo
1 Emilio Bernad
13 Yoel Rodríguez
8 Álex López

Coach: Cristóbal

Oviedo

4-1-4-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
21 Carlos Pomares D
11 S. Colombatto M
19 F. Viñas M
20 Jaime Seoane M
8 Santi Cazorla M
16 I. Chaira M
9 Alemão F
Bench (12)
6 K. Sibo
10 Portillo
23 H. Hassan
7 Sebas Moyano
5 Alberto del Moral
30 Marco Esteban
3 R. Alhassane
18 Paulino de la Fuente
29 Jaime Vázquez
27 Álex Cardero
14 D. Paraschiv
1 Q. Braat

Coach: Javier Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,68
U
2,97
B ✓
2,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,71
U2,5
1,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Muñiz · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.