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Copa del Rey

Referee: Daniel Palencia

Santander

U S S U T

1–0

Full-time

Sp Gijon

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Sp Gijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

7,0

1,0

Scored

4,0

1,0

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

0 Shots 0

0 Shots on target 0

0 Blocked shots 0

0 Free kicks against 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Santander 32. · Sp Gijon 41. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Ourense CF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Zaragoza	2	1	1	0	+4	4
13	Granada	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+5	3
15	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
17	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
19	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Unionistas de Salamanca	2	1	0	1	+3	3
21	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Cultural Leonesa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Estepona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Ejea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Europa Fc	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Gimnastic	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Parla Escuela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Manises	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Sant Andreu	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Salamanca UDS	2	1	0	1	-6	3
60	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Real Ávila	2	0	1	1	-2	1
69	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
70	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
71	Ontiñena	2	0	1	1	-7	1
72	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
119	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
120	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
121	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Estepona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Ejea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Europa Fc	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Sant Andreu	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
16	Salamanca UDS	2	1	0	1	-6	3
17	Zaragoza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Real Ávila	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
23	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
24	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Cultural Leonesa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Parla Escuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Manises	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
62	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
65	Ontiñena	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Granada	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
12	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.