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Superligaen
Referee: Morten Krogh
Aalborg
S S S U T
0–2
Full-time
Midtjylland
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,2
This season — Superligaen · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 30%
21%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
59%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
10 Shots 9
0 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalborg 10. · Midtjylland 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 29 16 4 9 +24 52
2 Nordsjaelland 29 14 9 6 +17 51
3 Viborg 29 14 7 8 +10 49
4 Aarhus 29 13 8 8 +10 47
5 Midtjylland 29 11 11 7 +12 44
6 Randers FC 29 10 10 9 -3 40
7 Odense 29 10 10 9 -9 40
8 Brondby 29 11 6 12 -8 39
9 Silkeborg 30 10 7 13 -6 37
10 Aalborg 29 6 9 14 -7 27
11 Horsens 30 7 6 17 -24 27
12 Lyngby 29 5 9 15 -16 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalborg Midtjylland
5′
G. Isaksen 0–1
20′
ℹ️ Gustav Isaksen
VAR: Goal cancelled
26′
🟨 Henrik Dalsgaard
Jakob Ahlmann 🟨
38′
Kasper Jørgensen 🟨
39′
Younes Bakiz 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
50′
Paulinho 0–2
G. Isaksen
A. Ementa 🔁
↦ Pedro Ferreira
57′
66′
🔁 Charles
↦ A. Şimşir
66′
🔁 E. Chilufya
↦ Júnior Brumado
D. Granli 🔁
↦ L. Kramer
70′
K. Ludewig 🔁
↦ J. Ahlmann
80′
O. Ross 🔁
↦ I. Fossum
80′
L. Prip 🔁
↦ N. Helenius
80′
83′
🔁 M. Thychosen
↦ G. Isaksen
Malthe Højholt ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
88′
90′
🔁 V. Byskov
↦ O. Sørensen
90′
🔁 V. Bak
↦ Paulinho
Anosike Ementa ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
93′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Aalborg

4-3-3
40 N. Mantl G
20 K. Jørgensen D
4 L. Kramer D
26 R. Thelander D
3 J. Ahlmann D
8 I. Fossum M
14 M. Højholt M
6 Pedro Ferreira M
23 Y. Bakiz F
17 N. Helenius F
10 L. Andersen F
Bench (8)
19 A. Ementa
5 D. Granli
32 K. Ludewig
38 O. Ross
18 L. Prip
22 T. Sander
34 S. Otoa
24 J. Skulstad

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Midtjylland

4-4-1-1
1 J. Lössl G
14 H. Dalsgaard D
4 S. Gartenmann D
73 Juninho D
29 Paulinho D
24 O. Sørensen M
5 E. Martínez M
37 A. Gigović M
11 G. Isaksen M
58 A. Şimşir F
74 Júnior Brumado F
Bench (9)
35 Charles
18 E. Chilufya
17 M. Thychosen
20 V. Byskov
55 V. Bak
22 P. Texel
40 G. Fraulo
16 E. Ólafsson
47 F. Heiselberg

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Morten Krogh · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.