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Superligaen
Referee: M Redder
Midtjylland
S T S S S
3–0
Full-time
Vejle
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Vejle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,2
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
67%
19%
Points per game
2,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
57%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,87 xG 0,36
74% Possession 26%
18 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Midtjylland 1. · Vejle 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 21 14 3 4 +17 +9.6 45
2 Brondby 21 13 5 3 +21 +5.9 44
3 FC Copenhagen 21 13 3 5 +20 +17.1 42
4 Nordsjaelland 21 10 6 5 +14 +6.2 36
5 Aarhus 21 8 9 4 +4 +3.7 33
6 Silkeborg 21 8 3 10 -1 +6.7 27
7 Odense 21 6 6 9 -5 -6.0 24
8 Viborg 21 6 5 10 -11 -5.6 23
9 Randers FC 21 5 7 9 -14 -2.3 22
10 Lyngby 21 5 5 11 -14 -4.1 20
11 Vejle 21 4 7 10 -4 -15.3 19
12 Hvidovre IF 21 2 5 14 -27 -16.1 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Midtjylland Vejle
Ola Brynhildsen 🟨
7′
Ola Brynhildsen ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
9′
44′
🟨 German Onugkha
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Jacobsen
↦ V. Lind
47′
🟨 German Onugkha
47′
🟥 German Onugkha
Aral Şimşir 🟨
55′
Franculino Djú 🔁
↦ O. Brynhildsen
58′
1–0 A. Şimşir
68′
69′
🔁 T. Lauritsen
↦ E. Ofori
69′
🔁 H. Barry
↦ Y. NGbakoto
Juninho 🔁
↦ A. Gigović
72′
V. Byskov 🔁
↦ D. Osorio
72′
2–0 Paulinho
76′
Charles 🔁
↦ A. Şimşir
81′
H. Dalsgaard 🔁
↦ A. Gabriel
81′
81′
🔁 T. Gundelund
↦ M. Elvius
81′
🔁 M. Juwara
↦ T. Francois
Paulinho ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
95′
3–0 Cho Gue-Sung
96′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-4-2
1 J. Lössl G
13 A. Gabriel D
15 S. Ingason D
22 M. Bech D
29 Paulinho D
11 D. Osorio M
24 O. Sørensen M
37 A. Gigović M
58 A. Şimşir M
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
9 O. Brynhildsen F
Bench (9)
17 Franculino Djú
73 Juninho
20 V. Byskov
35 Charles
14 H. Dalsgaard
55 V. Bak Jensen
50 M. Fraisl
5 E. Martínez
6 J. Andersson

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Vejle

3-4-3
1 N. Trott G
13 S. Velkov D
6 Raúl Albentosa D
4 O. Provstgaard D
59 M. Elvius M
15 E. Ofori M
35 T. Francois M
38 D. Čolina M
7 Y. N'Gbakoto F
9 G. Onugkha F
19 V. Lind F
Bench (9)
18 A. Jacobsen
25 T. Lauritsen
5 H. Barry
14 T. Gundelund
11 M. Juwara
20 D. Kolinger
31 I. Vekič
3 M. Albornoz
10 K. Kirkegaard

Coach: I. Prelec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Redder · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.