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Superligaen

Referee: J Kehlet

Viborg

S T T U U

3–2

Full-time

Randers FC

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Randers FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,7

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

31%

38%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

62%

46%

Both score Ø 54%

62%

46%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

0,72 xG 1,13

43% Possession 57%

6 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 1

14 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viborg 10. · Randers FC 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	13	9	3	1	+14	+12.3	30
2	Midtjylland	13	8	4	1	+20	+1.6	28
3	Brondby	13	8	1	4	+10	+9.7	25
4	FC Copenhagen	14	7	4	3	+9	+12.2	25
5	Nordsjaelland	13	6	0	7	-3	-3.4	18
6	Randers FC	13	5	2	6	-3	-0.2	17
7	Silkeborg	13	5	2	6	-5	-7.1	17
8	Sonderjyske	13	4	4	5	+0	-3.3	16
9	Odense	13	4	3	6	-12	+2.7	15
10	Viborg	13	4	1	8	-5	-4.3	13
11	Fredericia	14	3	2	9	-14	-12.5	11
12	Vejle	13	1	4	8	-11	-7.7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	7	5	2	0	+13	+4.4	17
2	Aarhus	7	5	1	1	+7	+12.1	16
3	Brondby	7	4	1	2	+5	+4.3	13
4	Sonderjyske	6	3	1	2	+4	-1.8	10
5	FC Copenhagen	7	2	4	1	+2	+7.9	10
6	Silkeborg	6	3	1	2	+1	+0.8	10
7	Randers FC	6	3	1	2	-1	-1.9	10
8	Odense	7	3	1	3	-4	+2.7	10
9	Nordsjaelland	6	3	0	3	-1	+0.9	9
10	Fredericia	7	2	1	4	-7	-5.1	7
11	Viborg	6	2	0	4	-2	-3.0	6
12	Vejle	7	1	2	4	-3	-3.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	7	5	0	2	+7	+4.3	15
2	Aarhus	6	4	2	0	+7	+0.2	14
3	Brondby	6	4	0	2	+5	+5.4	12
4	Midtjylland	6	3	2	1	+7	-2.8	11
5	Nordsjaelland	7	3	0	4	-2	-4.3	9
6	Randers FC	7	2	1	4	-2	+1.7	7
7	Viborg	7	2	1	4	-3	-1.2	7
8	Silkeborg	7	2	1	4	-6	-7.9	7
9	Sonderjyske	7	1	3	3	-4	-1.4	6
10	Odense	6	1	2	3	-8	-0.0	5
11	Fredericia	7	1	1	5	-7	-7.4	4
12	Vejle	6	0	2	4	-8	-4.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.