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Allsvenskan

Referee: Joakim Sars

Elfsborg

T T T S T

0–3

Full-time

AIK

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

61%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,70 xG 1,62

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 8. · AIK 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	28	21	6	1	+33	+5.4	69
2	Hammarby	28	18	4	6	+28	+17.9	58
3	GAIS	28	14	9	5	+16	+15.0	51
4	Goteborg	28	15	2	11	+6	+4.4	47
5	Malmo FF	29	12	10	7	+12	+14.1	46
6	Djurgarden	28	12	9	7	+18	+8.0	45
7	AIK	28	12	9	7	+6	+7.1	45
8	Elfsborg	28	12	4	12	+0	-1.9	40
9	Sirius	29	10	6	13	+0	+2.5	36
10	Hacken	29	9	8	12	-7	+4.5	35
11	Halmstad	28	9	4	15	-28	-14.8	31
12	Brommapojkarna	28	9	3	16	-5	-1.9	30
13	Norrkoping	29	8	5	16	-15	-14.0	29
14	Degerfors	28	7	5	16	-21	-6.6	26
15	Oster	28	6	7	15	-17	-16.4	25
16	Varnamo	28	3	7	18	-26	-23.2	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	14	11	1	2	+21	+14.3	34
2	Mjallby	14	10	4	0	+16	+6.9	34
3	AIK	14	7	6	1	+11	+5.3	27
4	GAIS	14	8	3	3	+8	+10.9	27
5	Djurgarden	14	6	6	2	+14	+8.4	24
6	Elfsborg	14	7	3	4	+9	+2.8	24
7	Malmo FF	14	6	4	4	+6	+11.0	22
8	Sirius	14	6	2	6	+8	+3.7	20
9	Goteborg	14	6	1	7	+1	+1.8	19
10	Halmstad	14	5	2	7	-13	-7.6	17
11	Hacken	15	4	4	7	-6	+6.6	16
12	Norrkoping	15	5	1	9	-8	-3.2	16
13	Oster	14	3	3	8	-6	-6.2	12
14	Brommapojkarna	14	4	0	10	-7	-0.7	12
15	Varnamo	14	2	5	7	-9	-9.2	11
16	Degerfors	14	1	4	9	-15	-1.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	14	11	2	1	+17	-1.6	35
2	Goteborg	14	9	1	4	+5	+2.6	28
3	GAIS	14	6	6	2	+8	+4.1	24
4	Hammarby	14	7	3	4	+7	+3.7	24
5	Malmo FF	15	6	6	3	+6	+3.0	24
6	Djurgarden	14	6	3	5	+4	-0.4	21
7	Hacken	14	5	4	5	-1	-2.1	19
8	Degerfors	14	6	1	7	-6	-5.6	19
9	Brommapojkarna	14	5	3	6	+2	-1.2	18
10	AIK	14	5	3	6	-5	+1.8	18
11	Sirius	15	4	4	7	-8	-1.2	16
12	Elfsborg	14	5	1	8	-9	-4.6	16
13	Halmstad	14	4	2	8	-15	-7.2	14
14	Norrkoping	14	3	4	7	-7	-10.9	13
15	Oster	14	3	4	7	-11	-10.2	13
16	Varnamo	14	1	2	11	-17	-14.0	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.