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LaLiga2

Referee: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo

Castellon

S U T T T

2–1

Full-time

Malaga

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,3

3,3

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

27%

36%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

45%

Both score Ø 46%

55%

36%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,41 xG 1,28

51% Possession 49%

19 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

4 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 14

6 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Castellon 18. · Malaga 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	12	8	1	3	+10	-0.4	25
2	Almeria	12	6	4	2	+5	+1.0	22
3	Burgos	12	6	3	3	+7	+2.8	21
4	Las Palmas	12	5	5	2	+5	+0.7	20
5	Cadiz	12	5	5	2	+2	-1.1	20
6	Cordoba	12	5	4	3	+2	-0.7	19
7	Sp Gijon	12	6	1	5	+0	-0.7	19
8	Ceuta	12	5	3	4	-3	-1.6	18
9	La Coruna	11	4	5	2	+7	–	17
10	Valladolid	11	4	4	3	+3	+2.3	16
11	Albacete	12	4	4	4	-2	-1.3	16
12	Andorra	12	4	4	4	-3	+1.1	16
13	Leganes	12	3	6	3	+2	+0.4	15
14	Malaga	11	4	2	5	+0	–	14
15	Cultural Leonesa	12	4	2	6	-1	-2.7	14
16	Huesca	11	4	2	5	-4	+1.3	14
17	Eibar	12	3	4	5	-1	-1.0	13
18	Castellon	11	3	3	5	-1	–	12
19	Granada	11	2	5	4	-4	–	11
20	Sociedad B	11	2	3	6	-4	+0.4	9
21	Mirandes	12	2	3	7	-8	-0.5	9
22	Zaragoza	11	1	3	7	-12	–	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	7	5	0	2	+7	-0.4	15
2	Almeria	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.0	13
3	Sp Gijon	7	4	1	2	+2	-0.7	13
4	Cadiz	6	4	1	1	+2	–	13
5	Eibar	6	3	3	0	+6	–	12
6	Ceuta	5	4	0	1	+4	–	12
7	Malaga	6	3	2	1	+6	–	11
8	Burgos	6	3	2	1	+5	+3.1	11
9	Cordoba	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.7	11
10	Huesca	6	3	2	1	+2	–	11
11	Las Palmas	6	3	1	2	+2	–	10
12	La Coruna	5	2	3	0	+5	–	9
13	Sociedad B	5	2	3	0	+4	–	9
14	Andorra	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.1	9
15	Valladolid	6	2	2	2	+3	+2.3	8
16	Albacete	6	2	1	3	-3	-1.3	7
17	Castellon	5	1	2	2	+0	–	5
18	Leganes	6	1	2	3	-1	+0.4	5
19	Granada	6	1	2	3	-2	–	5
20	Cultural Leonesa	6	1	2	3	-3	+0.5	5
21	Zaragoza	5	0	2	3	-8	–	2
22	Mirandes	5	0	1	4	-8	–	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	5	3	1	1	+3	–	10
2	Leganes	6	2	4	0	+3	–	10
3	Las Palmas	6	2	4	0	+3	+0.7	10
4	Burgos	6	3	1	2	+2	-0.4	10
5	Cultural Leonesa	6	3	0	3	+2	-3.1	9
6	Albacete	6	2	3	1	+1	–	9
7	Almeria	6	2	3	1	+0	–	9
8	La Coruna	6	2	2	2	+2	–	8
9	Mirandes	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.5	8
10	Cordoba	6	2	2	2	+0	–	8
11	Valladolid	5	2	2	1	+0	–	8
12	Cadiz	6	1	4	1	+0	-1.1	7
13	Castellon	6	2	1	3	-1	–	7
14	Andorra	6	2	1	3	-5	–	7
15	Sp Gijon	5	2	0	3	-2	–	6
16	Granada	5	1	3	1	-2	–	6
17	Ceuta	7	1	3	3	-7	-1.6	6
18	Zaragoza	6	1	1	4	-4	–	4
19	Huesca	5	1	0	4	-6	+1.3	3
20	Malaga	5	1	0	4	-6	–	3
21	Eibar	6	0	1	5	-7	-1.0	1
22	Sociedad B	6	0	0	6	-8	+0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.