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Super League
Referee: Ioannis Papadopoulos
AEK
T S T S T
1–0
Full-time
Panetolikos
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Super League · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 48%
63%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
13%
44%
Both score Ø 35%
25%
44%
Average goals
2,0
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%
18 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 4. · Panetolikos 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 10 8 1 1 +15 25
2 PAOK 9 7 2 0 +14 23
3 Levadeiakos 10 4 4 2 +11 16
4 AEK 8 5 1 2 +2 16
5 Volos NFC 10 5 0 5 -3 15
6 Panathinaikos 9 3 4 2 +2 13
7 Kifisia 10 3 3 4 +0 12
8 Aris Thessalonikis 9 3 3 3 -2 12
9 Aris 9 3 3 3 -2 12
10 Panetolikos 9 3 2 4 -4 11
11 Atromitos 10 2 3 5 -1 9
12 OFI Crete 8 3 0 5 -4 9
13 Larisa 9 1 4 4 -6 7
14 Panserraikos 10 1 3 6 -15 6
15 Asteras Tripolis 8 0 3 5 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Panetolikos
Konstantinos Chrysopoulos 🟨
-5′
Domagoj Vida 🟨
19′
26′
🟨 Sotiris Kontouris
Filipe Relvas 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 M. Luis
↦ S. Kontouris
L. Jovic 🔁
↦ D. Kaloskamis
65′
M. Gacinovic 🔁
↦ R. Marin
72′
75′
🔁 J. Aguirre
↦ K. Aleksic
76′
🔁 A. Matan
↦ K. Michalak
Lazaros Rota 🟨
79′
Luka Jović ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
80′
Luka Jović 🟨
81′
87′
🔁 U. Garcia
↦ Esteban Diego
88′
🔁 L. Smyrlis
↦ B. Nkololo
1–0 O. Pineda
L. Rota
90′
91′
🟨 Alexandru Mățan
M. Grujic 🔁
↦ A. Koita
95′
D. Kutesa 🔁
↦ F. Pierrot
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
44 F. Relvas D
29 J. Penrice D
13 O. Pineda M
18 R. Marin M
17 D. Kaloskamis
11 A. Koita M
10 Joao Mario M
14 F. Pierrot F
Bench (12)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
2 H. Moukoudi
3 S. Pilios
34 C. Kosidis
55 K. Chrysopoulos
4 M. Grujic
23 R. Ljubicic
37 R. Pereyra
7 D. Kutesa
8 M. Gacinovic
9 L. Jovic

Coach: Marko Nikolić

Panetolikos

4-1-4-1
13 L. Chaves G
35 C. Mavrias D
16 C. Sielis D
41 A. Bouchalakis D
49 N. Stajic D
28 L. Kojic
11 B. Nkololo M
22 Esteban Diego
6 S. Kontouris M
71 K. Michalak M
14 K. Aleksic F
Bench (12)
12 Z. Zivkovic
1 M. Pardalos
3 C. Manos
4 U. Garcia
23 G. Agapakis
77 E. Nikolaou
8 C. Belevonis
10 A. Matan
7 L. Smyrlis
20 J. Chura
90 M. Luis
9 J. Aguirre

Coach: Giannis Petrakis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,18
U
6,13
B
12,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.