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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Piast Gliwice

S T S S T

1–2

Full-time

Motor Lublin

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Motor Lublin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

24%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

43%

52%

Both score Ø 55%

43%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,81 xG 0,76

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

4 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Piast Gliwice 12. · Motor Lublin 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	20	10	6	4	+13	-3.3	36
2	Gornik Zabrze	21	10	4	7	+5	-2.6	34
3	Wisla Plock	21	8	9	4	+7	+1.6	33
4	Zaglebie	21	8	8	5	+6	-0.9	32
5	Cracovia	21	8	8	5	+5	+4.0	32
6	Lech Poznan	21	8	8	5	+4	+13.5	32
7	Lechia Gdansk	21	9	5	7	+3	+1.1	32
8	Rakow	21	9	4	8	+2	+5.2	31
9	Korona Kielce	21	8	6	7	+4	-2.6	30
10	Radomiak Radom	20	7	6	7	+3	+1.5	27
11	GKS Katowice	20	8	3	9	-2	-6.9	27
12	Piast Gliwice	21	7	5	9	-2	-8.7	26
13	Pogon Szczecin	21	7	4	10	-4	+9.9	25
14	Motor Lublin	21	5	9	7	-8	-5.4	24
15	Widzew Lodz	21	7	2	12	-3	+4.3	23
16	Arka Gdynia	20	6	4	10	-18	-7.5	22
17	Legia	21	4	9	8	-3	+1.5	21
18	Nieciecza	21	5	6	10	-12	-4.8	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	12	7	3	2	+8	+3.6	24
2	Gornik Zabrze	11	7	1	3	+10	+3.2	22
3	Arka Gdynia	10	6	3	1	+4	-3.3	21
4	Radomiak Radom	10	6	2	2	+13	+6.9	20
5	Zaglebie	11	5	5	1	+11	+2.9	20
6	Pogon Szczecin	11	6	2	3	+7	+9.5	20
7	Jagiellonia	8	6	0	2	+10	+0.6	18
8	Lechia Gdansk	10	5	3	2	+9	+2.4	18
9	Cracovia	10	4	5	1	+5	+6.3	17
10	GKS Katowice	11	5	2	4	+1	-2.4	17
11	Lech Poznan	11	4	4	3	+2	+9.9	16
12	Piast Gliwice	10	4	3	3	+2	-1.7	15
13	Motor Lublin	11	3	6	2	+1	+1.2	15
14	Korona Kielce	10	4	2	4	+2	+2.4	14
15	Widzew Lodz	10	4	2	4	+1	+2.7	14
16	Legia	10	3	4	3	+3	+1.9	13
17	Rakow	10	3	3	4	-1	+1.7	12
18	Nieciecza	11	2	3	6	-8	-2.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	11	6	1	4	+3	+3.6	19
2	Jagiellonia	12	4	6	2	+3	-3.9	18
3	Korona Kielce	11	4	4	3	+2	-5.0	16
4	Lech Poznan	10	4	4	2	+2	+3.6	16
5	Cracovia	11	4	3	4	+0	-2.2	15
6	Lechia Gdansk	11	4	2	5	-6	-1.2	14
7	Nieciecza	10	3	3	4	-4	-2.0	12
8	Gornik Zabrze	10	3	3	4	-5	-5.8	12
9	Zaglebie	10	3	3	4	-5	-3.8	12
10	Piast Gliwice	11	3	2	6	-4	-7.0	11
11	GKS Katowice	9	3	1	5	-3	-4.5	10
12	Wisla Plock	9	1	6	2	-1	-2.0	9
13	Widzew Lodz	11	3	0	8	-4	+1.6	9
14	Motor Lublin	10	2	3	5	-9	-6.6	9
15	Legia	11	1	5	5	-6	-0.4	8
16	Radomiak Radom	10	1	4	5	-10	-5.4	7
17	Pogon Szczecin	10	1	2	7	-11	+0.4	5
18	Arka Gdynia	10	0	1	9	-22	-4.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.