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LaLiga2
Referee: A de Ena Wolf
Ceuta
T T S T T
2–1
Full-time
Granada
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 25/26 matches
Win Ø 34%
40%
27%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
52%
42%
Both score Ø 53%
52%
54%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,39 xG 1,36
55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 5
19 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ceuta 12. · Granada 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Castellon 26 14 6 6 +19 +2.3 48
2 Santander 26 14 5 7 +17 -0.9 47
3 Almeria 26 13 6 7 +12 +0.9 45
4 La Coruna 26 12 7 7 +11 +3.4 43
5 Las Palmas 26 10 11 5 +9 +0.4 41
6 Malaga 26 12 5 9 +8 +0.3 41
7 Cordoba 25 11 8 6 +6 +2.0 41
8 Burgos 26 11 7 8 +4 +4.0 40
9 Sp Gijon 26 12 4 10 +2 +2.4 40
10 Eibar 26 9 8 9 +0 +1.8 35
11 Cadiz 26 9 8 9 -2 -1.9 35
12 Ceuta 25 10 5 10 -6 -5.4 35
13 Albacete 26 9 7 10 -5 +1.8 34
14 Granada 26 7 11 8 +1 +0.8 32
15 Leganes 26 8 8 10 +1 +4.6 32
16 Sociedad B 26 8 7 11 -2 -4.8 31
17 Huesca 26 8 6 12 -9 +0.8 30
18 Andorra 26 7 8 11 -9 +1.6 29
19 Valladolid 26 7 7 12 -10 +1.2 28
20 Cultural Leonesa 26 7 5 14 -14 -9.0 26
21 Zaragoza 26 5 9 12 -16 -2.8 24
22 Mirandes 26 5 6 15 -17 -3.6 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Dec -25 Granada – Ceuta 1–1

Match report

Ceuta Granada
1–0 M. Domenech
M. Illescas
28′
S. Sanchez 🔁
↦ M. Domenech
33′
37′
🟨 Rubén Alcaraz
38′
🔁 B. Diocou
↦ R. Alcaraz
43′
🟨 Izan González
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Manuel Lama
Rubén Díez 🟨
55′
Youness Lachhab 🟨
62′
64′
🔁 A. Lemos
↦ O. Naasei
64′
🔁 J. Pascual
↦ G. Petit
64′
🔁 S. Rodelas
↦ B. Diallo
Y. Bodiger 🔁
↦ Youness
66′
66′
B. Diocou 1–1
I. Gonzalez
A. Bassinga 🔁
↦ Jamelli
77′
J. Campana 🔁
↦ M. Illescas
77′
I. Schor 🔁
↦ K. Kone
77′
2–1 K. Zalazar
Matos Jose
79′
Aisar Ahmed 🟨
85′
85′
🔁 M. Bouldini
↦ P. Aleman
Salvi Sánchez 🟨
86′
Carlos Hernández 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ceuta

4-3-3
1 P. Lopez G
7 A. Ahmed D
6 C. Hernandez D
15 D. Gonzalez D
3 Matos Jose D
19 Jamelli M
5 Youness M
12 M. Illescas M
27 M. Domenech F
8 K. Zalazar F
22 K. Kone F
Bench (12)
13 G. Vallejo
17 G. Almenara
24 Y. Cantero
4 A. Caparros
16 C. Redruello Nimo
2 M. Sanchez
26 A. Bassinga
14 Y. Bodiger
20 J. Campana
10 C. Rodriguez
11 I. Schor
25 S. Sanchez

Coach: Jose Romero

Granada

4-3-3
1 L. Zidane G
28 O. Naasei D
5 M. Lama D
24 L. Williams D
22 B. Diallo D
8 P. Aleman M
4 R. Alcaraz M
41 I. Gonzalez M
7 A. Sola F
9 G. Petit F
11 J. M. Arnaiz F
Bench (11)
13 A. Astralaga
17 B. Diaby
36 Juanjo
3 D. Hormigo
18 A. Lemos
23 L. Gagnidze
14 M. Trigueros
10 M. Bouldini
40 B. Diocou
19 J. Pascual
26 S. Rodelas

Coach: Pacheta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
U
3,02
B
2,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A de Ena Wolf · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.