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Süper Lig

Referee: M Turkmen

Rizespor

T U U T U

2–0

Full-time

Kocaelispor

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Kocaelispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 27%

18%

36%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

55%

32%

Both score Ø 50%

59%

41%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,05 xG 0,66

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 9

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rizespor 13. · Kocaelispor 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	22	17	4	1	+40	+26.1	55
2	Fenerbahce	22	15	7	0	+31	+25.8	52
3	Trabzonspor	22	13	6	3	+17	+5.1	45
4	Goztep	22	11	8	3	+15	+1.7	41
5	Besiktas	22	11	7	4	+11	+21.4	40
6	Buyuksehyr	22	9	6	7	+13	+4.2	33
7	Kocaelispor	22	8	6	8	-1	+0.0	30
8	Samsunspor	22	7	9	6	-2	+6.1	30
9	Gaziantep	22	7	7	8	-9	-4.2	28
10	Alanyaspor	22	5	11	6	-1	-4.7	26
11	Genclerbirligi	22	6	5	11	-5	-10.6	23
12	Antalyaspor	22	6	5	11	-13	-15.2	23
13	Rizespor	22	4	9	9	-9	-2.0	21
14	Konyaspor	22	4	8	10	-10	-6.0	20
15	Kasimpasa	22	4	7	11	-12	-9.3	19
16	Eyüpspor	22	4	6	12	-17	-13.4	18
17	Kayserispor	22	2	10	10	-26	-13.0	16
18	Karagumruk	22	3	3	16	-22	-12.0	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	9	3	0	+22	+16.3	30
2	Fenerbahce	10	7	3	0	+14	+18.1	24
3	Trabzonspor	11	6	4	1	+10	+6.3	22
4	Goztep	11	6	4	1	+9	+2.7	22
5	Besiktas	11	6	3	2	+5	+12.6	21
6	Kocaelispor	12	6	3	3	+5	+7.5	21
7	Genclerbirligi	11	5	3	3	+3	+2.2	18
8	Alanyaspor	11	4	3	4	+1	-0.4	15
9	Gaziantep	11	4	3	4	-4	+2.8	15
10	Buyuksehyr	11	3	5	3	+3	+0.6	14
11	Samsunspor	11	3	5	3	-3	+4.7	14
12	Konyaspor	11	2	5	4	-2	+1.3	11
13	Rizespor	11	3	2	6	-7	+3.0	11
14	Antalyaspor	11	3	2	6	-10	-5.4	11
15	Eyüpspor	11	2	4	5	-7	-3.9	10
16	Kasimpasa	11	1	5	5	-6	-0.1	8
17	Karagumruk	11	2	2	7	-9	-2.7	8
18	Kayserispor	10	1	3	6	-16	-4.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	12	8	4	0	+17	+7.7	28
2	Galatasaray	10	8	1	1	+18	+9.8	25
3	Trabzonspor	11	7	2	2	+7	-1.2	23
4	Buyuksehyr	11	6	1	4	+10	+3.6	19
5	Besiktas	11	5	4	2	+6	+8.8	19
6	Goztep	11	5	4	2	+6	-1.1	19
7	Samsunspor	11	4	4	3	+1	+1.4	16
8	Gaziantep	11	3	4	4	-5	-7.0	13
9	Antalyaspor	11	3	3	5	-3	-9.8	12
10	Alanyaspor	11	1	8	2	-2	-4.3	11
11	Kasimpasa	11	3	2	6	-6	-9.2	11
12	Rizespor	11	1	7	3	-2	-5.0	10
13	Kayserispor	12	1	7	4	-10	-9.0	10
14	Kocaelispor	10	2	3	5	-6	-7.5	9
15	Konyaspor	11	2	3	6	-8	-7.2	9
16	Eyüpspor	11	2	2	7	-10	-9.5	8
17	Genclerbirligi	11	1	2	8	-8	-12.8	5
18	Karagumruk	11	1	1	9	-13	-9.3	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.