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Allsvenskan
Elfsborg
S U S S T
0–1
Full-time
Malmo FF
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 56%
58%
53%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
58%
68%
Both score Ø 61%
47%
74%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 3. · Malmo FF 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AIK 19 12 4 3 +14 40
2 Djurgarden 19 11 5 3 +16 38
3 Elfsborg 19 11 3 5 +14 36
4 Malmo FF 19 10 5 4 +16 35
5 Norrkoping 19 9 3 7 +9 30
6 Hammarby 19 8 6 5 +5 30
7 Kalmar 19 8 6 5 +1 30
8 Varberg 19 7 5 7 -1 26
9 Sirius 19 7 5 7 -8 26
10 Hacken 19 6 5 8 +0 23
11 Goteborg 19 5 7 7 -2 22
12 Halmstad 19 4 8 7 -4 20
13 Degerfors 19 5 3 11 -16 18
14 Mjallby 19 3 8 8 -6 17
15 Orebro 19 3 4 12 -25 13
16 Ostersunds 19 3 3 13 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.