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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Groningen
S U T U T
0–1
Full-time
Vitesse
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 3
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 13. · Vitesse 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 5 1 0 +26 16
2 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 0 1 +8 15
3 Willem II 6 4 1 1 +2 13
4 Utrecht 6 3 2 1 +8 11
5 Heerenveen 4 3 1 0 +3 10
6 Feyenoord 4 3 0 1 +8 9
7 Nijmegen 6 2 2 2 -5 8
8 Twente 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 0 4 -4 6
10 Cambuur 5 2 0 3 -8 6
11 Vitesse 5 2 0 3 -9 6
12 Waalwijk 6 1 2 3 -2 5
13 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 -4 5
15 Heracles 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 For Sittard 5 1 1 3 -7 4
17 AZ Alkmaar 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Zwolle 5 0 0 5 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Vitesse
Mike te Wierik 🟥
36′
Jørgen Strand Larsen ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
36′
Half-time 0–0
M. Šverko 🔁
↦ D. Irandust
46′
46′
🔁 O. Tannane
↦ S. Tronstad
48′
Y. Gboho 0–1
Daniel Van Kaam 🟥
50′
51′
🟨 Matúš Bero
61′
🟨 Oussama Tannane
63′
🔁 P. Vroegh
↦ M. Bero
M. de Leeuw 🔁
↦ C. Ngonge
74′
R. Postema 🔁
↦ J. Larsen
75′
80′
🔁 D. Huisman
↦ Y. Gboho
81′
🔁 O. Darfalou
↦ L. Openda
P. Abraham 🔁
↦ T. Suslov
92′
D. Dankerlui 🔁
↦ B. van Hintum
92′
92′
🔁 A. Oroz
↦ R. Bazoer
93′
🟨 Jacob Rasmussen
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Groningen

3-4-2-1
1 P. Leeuwenburgh G
3 B. van Hintum M
5 M. te Wierik D
4 W. Dammers D
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
10 D. Irandust F
26 D. van Kaam M
7 T. Suslov M
11 M. El Hankouri M
27 C. Ngonge F
9 J. Larsen F
Bench (10)
20 M. Šverko
8 M. de Leeuw
29 R. Postema
19 P. Abraham
2 D. Dankerlui
25 J. de Boer
14 P. Joosten
40 B. Meijer
39 O. van der Vlag
15 Y. Kalley

Coach: D. Buijs

Vitesse

3-4-3
1 M. Schubert G
18 T. Hájek D
2 E. Dasa M
32 M. Wittek M
6 J. Rasmussen D
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer D
8 S. Tronstad M
20 Y. Gboho F
7 L. Openda F
11 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (12)
14 O. Tannane
36 P. Vroegh
40 D. Huisman
9 O. Darfalou
16 A. Oroz
27 R. Yapi
24 J. Houwen
29 T. Buitink
42 M. Manhoef
39 E. Cornelisse
19 J. von Moos
22 T. Domgjoni

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,47
U
3,46
B ✓
2,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.