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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Sevilla

S S S U U

3–1

Full-time

Valencia

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 55%

50%

60%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

25%

60%

Both score Ø 43%

25%

60%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

58% Possession 42%

11 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

25 Free kicks against 21

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 7. · Valencia 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	6	4	2	0	+4	14
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Valencia	5	3	1	1	+6	10
4	Vallecano	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Ath Bilbao	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Sevilla	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Barcelona	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Osasuna	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Mallorca	5	2	2	1	+0	8
11	Betis	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Elche	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Cadiz	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Villarreal	4	0	4	0	+0	4
15	Levante	6	0	4	2	-3	4
16	Celta	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Granada	5	0	3	2	-5	3
19	Getafe	6	0	0	6	-8	0
20	Alaves	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Sociedad	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Valencia	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Mallorca	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Elche	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Betis	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Levante	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Osasuna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Granada	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Cadiz	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Celta	3	0	0	3	-3	0
19	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Ath Madrid	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sevilla	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Cadiz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Betis	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Celta	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Villarreal	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Elche	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Levante	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Granada	3	0	2	1	-4	2
18	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.