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Serie A

Referee: M Irrati

Salernitana

S T T T T

2–2

Full-time

Verona

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Verona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

3,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

-2,5

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 20. · Verona 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Milan	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Atalanta	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Roma	4	3	0	1	+6	9
6	Fiorentina	5	3	0	2	-1	9
7	Bologna	5	2	2	1	-3	8
8	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+5	7
9	Udinese	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Torino	4	2	0	2	+3	6
11	Sampdoria	4	1	2	1	+2	5
12	Sassuolo	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Genoa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-5	4
15	Verona	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Venezia	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Juventus	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Cagliari	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	Salernitana	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bologna	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Roma	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+5	4
7	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Udinese	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Torino	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Verona	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Empoli	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Milan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Genoa	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-4	4
9	Roma	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-5	1
19	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.