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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Uğurlu
Kayserispor
T U S S T
3–0
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 9
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kayserispor 11. · Galatasaray 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 6 4 2 0 +8 14
2 Trabzonspor 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Altay 6 4 0 2 +4 12
4 Karagumruk 6 3 2 1 +5 11
5 Konyaspor 5 3 2 0 +4 11
6 Hatayspor 5 3 1 1 +7 10
7 Fenerbahce 5 3 1 1 +3 10
8 Alanyaspor 5 3 0 2 -5 9
9 Galatasaray 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Kayserispor 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Sivasspor 6 1 3 2 -1 6
13 Ad. Demirspor 6 1 3 2 -3 6
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 2 0 4 -6 6
15 Goztep 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Kasimpasa 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Antalyaspor 6 1 2 3 -4 5
18 Buyuksehyr 6 1 0 5 -3 3
19 Giresunspor 5 0 1 4 -6 1
20 Rizespor 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,52
U
3,71
B
1,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Y Uğurlu · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.