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Allsvenskan
Sirius
T S T T U
2–2
Full-time
Kalmar
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Kalmar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 26%
36%
16%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
64%
56%
Both score Ø 64%
72%
56%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 7. · Kalmar 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 25 14 8 3 +26 50
2 Djurgarden 25 12 6 7 +14 42
3 Norrkoping 25 11 7 7 +14 40
4 Hacken 25 10 10 5 +12 40
5 Elfsborg 25 9 13 3 +7 40
6 Hammarby 25 10 9 6 +5 39
7 Sirius 25 9 9 7 -1 36
8 Ostersunds 25 8 9 8 -3 33
9 Orebro 25 9 6 10 -4 33
10 AIK 25 8 8 9 -2 32
11 Mjallby 25 8 8 9 -4 32
12 Varberg 25 7 7 11 -5 28
13 Goteborg 25 4 12 9 -12 24
14 Helsingborg 25 4 10 11 -13 22
15 Falkenbergs 25 4 8 13 -16 20
16 Kalmar 25 4 8 13 -18 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.