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Allsvenskan

Referee: V Wolf

Sirius

U U S S T

0–1

Full-time

Varnamo

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

20 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 5. · Varnamo 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+10	+3.8	9
2	Djurgarden	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.2	7
3	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.2	7
4	Hammarby	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.0	6
5	Sirius	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.0	6
6	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	-1	-4.0	6
7	AIK	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.1	5
8	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+3	+2.2	4
9	Hacken	3	1	1	1	+0	-2.3	4
10	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	-2	+1.3	4
11	Goteborg	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.8	3
12	GAIS	3	1	0	2	-4	-0.1	3
13	Norrkoping	3	1	0	2	-6	-2.6	3
14	Varnamo	3	0	1	2	-5	-2.7	1
15	Vasteras SK	3	0	0	3	-3	+2.5	0
16	Kalmar	3	0	0	3	-4	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
2	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.7	4
3	Djurgarden	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.0	4
4	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
5	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
6	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
7	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.3	3
9	Norrkoping	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.6	3
10	Elfsborg	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
11	Brommapojkarna	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
12	Kalmar	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.4	0
13	Vasteras SK	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.0	0
14	Goteborg	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
15	GAIS	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.4	0
16	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+8	+3.8	6
2	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	+3	+2.2	3
3	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
5	GAIS	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
6	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
7	Sirius	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
8	Halmstad	2	1	0	1	-2	-4.0	3
9	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
10	AIK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
11	Hacken	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
12	Varnamo	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
13	Vasteras SK	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
14	Kalmar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
15	Hammarby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
16	Norrkoping	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.