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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel González
Alcorcon
U T T U U
1–1
Full-time
Burgos
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 32%
24%
39%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
27%
51%
Both score Ø 40%
34%
46%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 4
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 3
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alcorcon 20. · Burgos 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valladolid 41 21 9 11 +16 72
2 Leganes 41 19 14 8 +27 71
3 Eibar 41 20 8 13 +23 68
4 Espanol 41 16 18 7 +16 66
5 Oviedo 41 17 13 11 +17 64
6 Santander 41 18 10 13 +9 64
7 Sp Gijon 41 17 11 13 +8 62
8 Elche 41 16 11 14 -1 59
9 Ferrol 41 15 14 12 -2 59
10 Levante 41 13 19 9 +4 58
11 Burgos 41 16 10 15 -2 58
12 Tenerife 41 14 11 16 -4 53
13 Cartagena 41 14 9 18 -11 51
14 Zaragoza 41 12 14 15 +0 50
15 Albacete 41 12 14 15 -6 50
16 Eldense 41 12 14 15 -9 50
17 Huesca 41 11 15 15 +3 48
18 Mirandes 41 11 13 17 -9 46
19 Amorebieta 41 11 12 18 -15 45
20 Alcorcon 41 10 13 18 -21 43
21 Andorra 41 10 10 21 -21 40
22 Villarreal B 41 10 10 21 -22 40

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alcorcon Burgos
Half-time 0–0
Dyego Sousa 🔁
↦ Jacobo González
46′
Iker Bilbao 🔁
↦ Víctor García
46′
46′
🔁 Unai Elgezabal
↦ Aitor Córdoba
1–0 Dyego Sousa
Fede Vico
53′
59′
🔁 Álex Bermejo
↦ Dani Ojeda
59′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Joni Montiel
59′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ Fer Niño
Koldo Obieta 🔁
↦ Juan Artola
71′
74′
Álex Sancris 1–1
Curro Sánchez
Israel García 🔁
↦ Javi Lara
80′
85′
🔁 Lucas Ricoy
↦ Álex Sancris
Jaime Garrido 🔁
↦ Fede Vico
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Alcorcon

4-2-3-1
1 Jesús Ruiz G
29 Èric Callis D
2 Javi Castro D
6 J. Babin D
3 David Morillas D
15 Javi Lara M
10 Juanma Bravo M
17 Víctor García M
14 Fede Vico M
8 Jacobo González M
22 Juan Artola F
Bench (12)
11 Dyego Sousa
24 Iker Bilbao
21 Koldo Obieta
32 Israel García
28 Jaime Garrido
20 Iago López
4 Óscar Rivas
23 Chema Rodríguez
19 Xavi Quintillà
33 Marciano Sanca
31 Álex Ruiz
16 Y. Eteki

Coach: M. Nafti

Burgos

4-4-2
1 L. Badiashile G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
20 Grego Sierra D
8 Ander Martín D
11 Álex Sancris M
21 Joni Montiel M
5 Miguel Atienza M
7 Dani Ojeda M
16 Curro Sánchez F
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (7)
14 Unai Elgezabal
10 Álex Bermejo
22 Miki Muñoz
19 Edu Espiau
30 Lucas Ricoy
28 Saúl del Cerro
27 Javier Moral

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U ✓
3,28
B
2,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel González · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.