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Super League

Referee: A Colombo

AEK

S S U S U

1–1

Full-time

Olympiakos

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Olympiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 64%

67%

61%

Points per game

2,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

39%

36%

Both score Ø 35%

36%

33%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

1,8

1,6

Conceded

0,6

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,78 xG 0,62

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 1. · Olympiakos 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	33	22	9	2	+38	+13.7	75
2	Olympiakos	33	20	9	4	+35	+16.6	69
3	PAOK	33	19	10	4	+36	+4.2	67
4	Panathinaikos	33	15	10	8	+16	+2.9	55
5	Levadeiakos	36	15	10	11	+13	-2.8	55
6	Aris Thessalonikis	32	11	13	8	+2	+0.7	46
7	Aris	32	11	13	8	+2	–	46
8	OFI Crete	36	14	3	19	-11	-8.7	45
9	Atromitos	37	11	11	15	+0	+0.0	44
10	Kifisia	37	8	15	14	-13	+1.5	39
11	Panetolikos	37	10	9	18	-14	-5.4	39
12	Asteras Tripolis	37	7	13	17	-15	-1.4	34
13	Larisa	37	6	15	16	-21	-8.9	33
14	Volos NFC	36	9	6	21	-26	-4.4	33
15	Panserraikos	37	7	10	20	-42	-7.9	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	17	13	4	0	+28	+4.8	43
2	AEK	16	14	1	1	+25	+9.3	43
3	Olympiakos	17	11	4	2	+20	+8.1	37
4	Levadeiakos	18	10	5	3	+21	+1.0	35
5	Panathinaikos	16	9	5	2	+15	+1.8	32
6	OFI Crete	18	9	0	9	+6	-2.6	27
7	Aris Thessalonikis	16	5	9	2	+5	+4.8	24
8	Aris	16	5	9	2	+5	–	24
9	Asteras Tripolis	19	6	6	7	+2	+2.7	24
10	Volos NFC	18	5	6	7	-8	+1.6	21
11	Larisa	19	4	8	7	-9	-0.8	20
12	Atromitos	18	4	6	8	-4	+0.9	18
13	Kifisia	18	4	6	8	-6	+2.6	18
14	Panetolikos	18	4	3	11	-11	+0.2	15
15	Panserraikos	19	3	6	10	-21	-5.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	9	5	2	+15	+8.5	32
2	AEK	17	8	8	1	+13	+4.3	32
3	Atromitos	19	7	5	7	+4	-0.9	26
4	PAOK	16	6	6	4	+8	-0.7	24
5	Panetolikos	19	6	6	7	-3	-5.6	24
6	Panathinaikos	17	6	5	6	+1	+1.1	23
7	Aris Thessalonikis	16	6	4	6	-3	-4.2	22
8	Aris	16	6	4	6	-3	–	22
9	Kifisia	19	4	9	6	-7	-1.1	21
10	Levadeiakos	18	5	5	8	-8	-3.9	20
11	OFI Crete	18	5	3	10	-17	-6.1	18
12	Panserraikos	18	4	4	10	-21	-2.4	16
13	Larisa	18	2	7	9	-12	-8.1	13
14	Volos NFC	18	4	0	14	-18	-6.1	12
15	Asteras Tripolis	18	1	7	10	-17	-4.1	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.