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Super League
Referee: F Fotiadis
PAOK
S T U T U
3–1
Full-time
OFI Crete
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Super League · 30/31 matches
Win Ø 48%
60%
35%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
53%
58%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 2. · OFI Crete 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 31 25 6 0 +52 81
2 PAOK 30 18 7 5 +24 61
3 AEK 30 17 8 5 +23 59
4 Panathinaikos 30 12 11 7 +8 47
5 OFI Crete 31 11 5 15 -4 38
6 Aris Thessalonikis 28 9 10 9 +6 37
7 Aris 28 9 10 9 +6 37
8 Atromitos 29 10 7 12 -4 37
9 Asteras Tripolis 30 9 8 13 -4 35
10 Larisa 30 8 10 12 -8 34
11 Lamia 30 6 15 9 -12 33
12 Volos NFC 30 9 6 15 -22 33
13 Xanthi 29 8 6 15 -14 30
14 Panetolikos 30 5 8 17 -21 23
15 Panionios 30 5 7 18 -30 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK OFI Crete
43′
🟨 C. Braun
Half-time 0–1
49′
J. Neira 0–1
C. Tzolis 🔁
↦ L. Lamprou
55′
K. Świderski 🔁
↦ D. Biseswar
55′
1–1 C. Tzolis
D. Giannoulis
59′
64′
🔁 A. Nabi
↦ Ricardo Vaz
64′
🔁 P. Deligiannidis
↦ N. Korovesis
M. Stoch 🔁
↦ D. Limnios
69′
76′
🟨 Joao Victor
Rodrigo Alves 🔁
↦ A. Esiti
77′
Maurício 🔁
↦ Léo Matos
77′
83′
🔁 V. Nikokyrakis
↦ P. Staikos
C. Tzolis 🟨
84′
90′
🟨 A. Nastos
2–1 C. Akpom
91′
O. El Kaddouri 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 J. Neira
95′
🔁 D. Manos
↦ J. Neira
3–1 O. El Kaddouri 0
100′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis G
3 Léo Matos D
5 Fernando Varela D
4 S. Ingason D
23 D. Giannoulis D
21 D. Biseswar M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
24 A. Esiti M
47 C. Akpom F
22 L. Lamprou F
18 D. Limnios M
Bench (9)
68 C. Tzolis
9 K. Świderski
99 M. Stoch
2 Rodrigo Alves
8 Maurício
6 E. Mihaj
51 T. Tsiggaras
88 Ž. Živković
49 I. Michailidis

Coach: Abel Ferreira

OFI Crete

4-3-3
1 Óscar Whalley G
18 K. Giannoulis D
47 C. Braun D
12 João Victor M
6 A. Nastos M
34 N. Korovesis D
26 P. Staikos M
8 J. Neira M
11 Lisandro Semedo F
21 Ricardo Vaz M
20 João Figueiredo F
Bench (9)
10 A. Nabi
41 P. Deligiannidis
91 V. Nikokyrakis
9 D. Manos
54 M. Perdikis
32 D. Sotiriou
13 N. Vafeas
29 M. Mellado
4 V. Sakor

Coach: G. Simos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,14
U
7,76
B
15,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,46
U2,5
2,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.