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Championship
Referee: J Brooks
Luton
S T S U U
1–1
Full-time
Preston
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luton Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Championship · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 35%
27%
43%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
73%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
62%
51%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
5 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luton 23. · Preston 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 37 21 8 8 +26 71
2 West Brom 37 19 13 5 +27 70
3 Fulham 36 18 9 9 +13 63
4 Nott'm Forest 37 16 12 9 +10 60
5 Swansea 36 14 14 8 +9 56
6 Preston 37 16 8 13 +5 56
7 Bristol City 37 15 10 12 -2 55
8 Brentford 35 15 9 11 +27 54
9 Millwall 38 13 15 10 +3 54
10 Derby 38 14 12 12 +1 54
11 Blackburn 37 14 11 12 +7 53
12 Cardiff 36 13 14 9 +2 53
13 QPR 37 14 8 15 -4 50
14 Reading 37 13 9 15 +4 48
15 Sheffield Weds 37 13 9 15 -3 48
16 Birmingham 37 12 11 14 -9 47
17 Stoke 37 12 6 19 -6 42
18 Huddersfield 37 11 9 17 -13 42
19 Wigan 37 10 11 16 -12 41
20 Middlesbrough 38 9 14 15 -13 41
21 Hull 37 11 8 18 -14 41
22 Charlton 37 10 9 18 -10 39
23 Luton 37 10 5 22 -28 35
24 Barnsley 37 8 10 19 -20 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Dec -19 Preston – Luton 2–1

Match report

Luton Preston
Half-time 0–1
52′
S. Sinclair 0–1
T. Barkhuizen
Glen Rea 🟨
56′
65′
🔁 D. Nugent
↦ S. Maguire
G. Moncur 🔁
↦ G. Rea
75′
C. McManaman 🔁
↦ I. Brown
75′
J. Bree 🔁
↦ M. Cranie
75′
77′
🔁 D. Fisher
↦ P. Gallagher
77′
🔁 B. Potts
↦ S. Sinclair
S. Bradley 🔁
↦ M. Pearson
84′
D. Hylton 🔁
↦ J. Collins
84′
1–1 C. McManaman
J. Bree
87′
91′
🔁 B. Bodin
↦ T. Barkhuizen
92′
🔁 J. Stockley
↦ D. Johnson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Luton

4-3-1-2
12 S. Sluga G
2 M. Cranie D
3 D. Potts D
6 M. Pearson D
16 G. Rea M
18 C. Carter-Vickers D
4 R. Tunnicliffe M
17 P. Ruddock M
19 J. Collins F
24 I. Brown M
14 H. Cornick F
Bench (9)
20 G. Moncur
7 C. McManaman
26 J. Bree
5 S. Bradley
9 D. Hylton
10 E. Lee
29 J. Butterfield
11 A. Shinnie
36 J. Shea

Coach: N. Jones

Preston

4-2-3-1
1 D. Rudd G
16 A. Hughes D
21 P. Bauer D
6 B. Davies D
12 P. Gallagher M
31 S. Sinclair M
29 T. Barkhuizen M
11 D. Johnson M
4 B. Pearson M
8 A. Browne D
24 S. Maguire F
Bench (9)
35 D. Nugent
2 D. Fisher
44 B. Potts
39 B. Bodin
20 J. Stockley
10 J. Harrop
14 J. Storey
18 R. Ledson
25 C. Ripley

Coach: A. Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,32
U ✓
3,32
B
2,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.