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Super League
AEK
S S U U S
2–2
Full-time
Aris
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Super League · 30/28 matches
Win Ø 45%
57%
32%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
43%
61%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 4
13 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 3. · Aris 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 31 25 6 0 +52 81
2 PAOK 30 18 7 5 +24 61
3 AEK 30 17 8 5 +23 59
4 Panathinaikos 30 12 11 7 +8 47
5 OFI Crete 31 11 5 15 -4 38
6 Aris Thessalonikis 28 9 10 9 +6 37
7 Aris 28 9 10 9 +6 37
8 Atromitos 29 10 7 12 -4 37
9 Asteras Tripolis 30 9 8 13 -4 35
10 Larisa 30 8 10 12 -8 34
11 Lamia 30 6 15 9 -12 33
12 Volos NFC 30 9 6 15 -22 33
13 Xanthi 29 8 6 15 -14 30
14 Panetolikos 30 5 8 17 -21 23
15 Panionios 30 5 7 18 -30 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,36
U ✓
4,56
B
8,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.