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Ekstraklasa

Referee: L Kuźma

Lech Poznan

T S S T S

2–0

Full-time

GKS Katowice

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan GKS Katowice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 53%

73%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

47%

67%

Both score Ø 47%

40%

53%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,45 xG 1,25

61% Possession 39%

26 Shots 16

13 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 11

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 1. · GKS Katowice 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	15	11	1	3	+18	+7.9	34
2	Jagiellonia	16	10	3	3	+7	-0.9	33
3	Rakow	15	9	4	2	+13	+9.3	31
4	Cracovia	15	9	2	4	+9	+0.7	29
5	Legia	15	7	4	4	+9	+7.5	25
6	Pogon Szczecin	16	8	1	7	+4	+6.6	25
7	Motor Lublin	16	7	3	6	-4	-1.1	24
8	Widzew Lodz	15	6	4	5	+1	-1.1	22
9	Gornik Zabrze	15	6	3	6	+2	+2.6	21
10	Piast Gliwice	15	5	5	5	+1	-0.5	20
11	GKS Katowice	15	5	4	6	+2	+2.7	19
12	Zaglebie	16	5	3	8	-8	-4.5	18
13	Radomiak Radom	14	5	1	8	-2	-1.1	16
14	Korona Kielce	15	4	4	7	-10	-1.8	16
15	Stal Mielec	15	4	3	8	-5	+3.9	15
16	Puszcza	15	2	5	8	-12	-11.9	11
17	Lechia Gdansk	16	2	5	9	-14	-16.2	11
18	Slask Wroclaw	15	1	7	7	-11	-2.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	8	7	0	1	+15	+7.3	21
2	Pogon Szczecin	8	7	0	1	+10	+8.3	21
3	Jagiellonia	9	5	3	1	+6	+3.4	18
4	Legia	8	5	1	2	+10	+5.8	16
5	Stal Mielec	8	4	2	2	+3	+8.0	14
6	Rakow	7	4	1	2	+6	+4.8	13
7	Zaglebie	8	4	1	3	+2	-1.4	13
8	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+2	+0.1	13
9	Cracovia	8	3	2	3	+1	-0.3	11
10	Motor Lublin	8	3	2	3	-1	-0.6	11
11	Radomiak Radom	7	3	1	3	+3	+3.3	10
12	Gornik Zabrze	7	3	1	3	+2	+3.8	10
13	Piast Gliwice	7	2	3	2	+1	-1.9	9
14	GKS Katowice	8	2	3	3	+1	-2.5	9
15	Puszcza	7	2	3	2	-2	-3.6	9
16	Slask Wroclaw	7	1	4	2	-2	+0.9	7
17	Korona Kielce	7	2	1	4	-3	+2.4	7
18	Lechia Gdansk	8	1	2	5	-8	-9.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	7	6	0	1	+8	+0.9	18
2	Rakow	8	5	3	0	+7	+4.4	18
3	Jagiellonia	7	5	0	2	+1	-4.3	15
4	Lech Poznan	7	4	1	2	+3	+0.6	13
5	Motor Lublin	8	4	1	3	-3	-0.6	13
6	Gornik Zabrze	8	3	2	3	+0	-1.2	11
7	Piast Gliwice	8	3	2	3	+0	+1.4	11
8	GKS Katowice	7	3	1	3	+1	+5.2	10
9	Widzew Lodz	8	2	3	3	-1	-1.2	9
10	Legia	7	2	3	2	-1	+1.7	9
11	Korona Kielce	8	2	3	3	-7	-4.2	9
12	Radomiak Radom	7	2	0	5	-5	-4.4	6
13	Lechia Gdansk	8	1	3	4	-6	-6.5	6
14	Zaglebie	8	1	2	5	-10	-3.1	5
15	Pogon Szczecin	8	1	1	6	-6	-1.7	4
16	Slask Wroclaw	8	0	3	5	-9	-2.9	3
17	Puszcza	8	0	2	6	-10	-8.3	2
18	Stal Mielec	7	0	1	6	-8	-4.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.