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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Widzew Lodz

T U T T U

0–1

Full-time

Jagiellonia

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 44%

30%

57%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

48%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,9

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

19 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

13 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Widzew Lodz 13. · Jagiellonia 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	24	16	2	6	+27	+9.9	50
2	Rakow	24	14	7	3	+20	+11.6	49
3	Jagiellonia	23	13	6	4	+15	+2.6	45
4	Pogon Szczecin	24	12	4	8	+10	+9.2	40
5	Legia	23	11	6	6	+14	+10.2	39
6	Cracovia	24	10	8	6	+8	-3.3	38
7	Gornik Zabrze	24	11	4	9	+3	+4.0	37
8	Motor Lublin	23	10	5	8	-5	-2.7	35
9	GKS Katowice	24	9	6	9	+3	+2.1	33
10	Piast Gliwice	24	8	9	7	+1	-1.7	33
11	Korona Kielce	24	8	8	8	-7	-2.6	32
12	Radomiak Radom	24	8	4	12	-6	+0.7	28
13	Widzew Lodz	23	7	6	10	-11	-4.5	27
14	Stal Mielec	24	6	5	13	-9	+3.9	23
15	Puszcza	24	5	7	12	-12	-13.6	22
16	Zaglebie	24	6	4	14	-17	-6.1	22
17	Lechia Gdansk	24	5	6	13	-17	-15.3	21
18	Slask Wroclaw	24	2	9	13	-17	-4.4	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	13	11	0	2	+23	+8.3	33
2	Pogon Szczecin	12	9	1	2	+11	+10.1	28
3	Jagiellonia	12	8	3	1	+15	+4.4	27
4	Legia	12	8	2	2	+15	+8.2	26
5	Rakow	12	6	3	3	+8	+6.9	21
6	Gornik Zabrze	12	6	2	4	+4	+6.1	20
7	GKS Katowice	12	5	4	3	+5	-1.8	19
8	Stal Mielec	12	5	3	4	+2	+8.0	18
9	Motor Lublin	11	5	3	3	+1	-1.5	18
10	Korona Kielce	12	5	2	5	-1	+3.8	17
11	Widzew Lodz	11	5	2	4	-2	-0.6	17
12	Radomiak Radom	12	4	4	4	+4	+4.3	16
13	Cracovia	13	3	6	4	+0	-1.7	15
14	Piast Gliwice	12	3	6	3	-1	-0.6	15
15	Puszcza	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.7	13
16	Zaglebie	11	4	1	6	-4	-1.8	13
17	Slask Wroclaw	12	2	5	5	-3	-1.4	11
18	Lechia Gdansk	12	3	2	7	-9	-8.8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	12	8	4	0	+12	+4.7	28
2	Cracovia	11	7	2	2	+8	-1.7	23
3	Piast Gliwice	12	5	3	4	+2	-1.0	18
4	Jagiellonia	11	5	3	3	+0	-1.8	18
5	Lech Poznan	11	5	2	4	+4	+1.6	17
6	Gornik Zabrze	12	5	2	5	-1	-2.1	17
7	Motor Lublin	12	5	2	5	-6	-1.2	17
8	Korona Kielce	12	3	6	3	-6	-6.4	15
9	GKS Katowice	12	4	2	6	-2	+3.9	14
10	Legia	11	3	4	4	-1	+2.0	13
11	Pogon Szczecin	12	3	3	6	-1	-0.9	12
12	Radomiak Radom	12	4	0	8	-10	-3.6	12
13	Lechia Gdansk	12	2	4	6	-8	-6.6	10
14	Widzew Lodz	12	2	4	6	-9	-3.9	10
15	Puszcza	13	2	3	8	-10	-10.9	9
16	Zaglebie	13	2	3	8	-13	-4.4	9
17	Stal Mielec	12	1	2	9	-11	-4.1	5
18	Slask Wroclaw	12	0	4	8	-14	-3.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.