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Ekstraklasa

Lechia Gdansk

S S U T S

1–2

Full-time

Jagiellonia

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,8

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 41%

53%

29%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

53%

Both score Ø 62%

59%

65%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 3. · Jagiellonia 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	18	11	5	2	+23	38
2	Pogon Szczecin	17	10	5	2	+19	35
3	Lechia Gdansk	17	9	6	2	+12	33
4	Rakow	17	9	5	3	+10	32
5	Radomiak Radom	17	8	7	2	+9	31
6	Stal Mielec	18	7	6	5	+0	27
7	Slask Wroclaw	17	6	6	5	+3	24
8	Gornik Zabrze	16	7	3	6	+1	24
9	Wisla Plock	17	7	2	8	+1	23
10	Cracovia	17	6	5	6	-1	23
11	Piast Gliwice	17	6	3	8	+0	21
12	Jagiellonia	17	5	6	6	-3	21
13	Zaglebie	17	6	2	9	-11	20
14	Wisla	18	5	3	10	-12	18
15	Nieciecza	17	2	6	9	-9	12
16	Legia	15	4	0	11	-11	12
17	Warta Poznan	17	2	6	9	-11	12
18	Leczna	17	2	6	9	-20	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	9	7	2	0	+19	23
2	Pogon Szczecin	8	7	1	0	+17	22
3	Wisla Plock	8	6	2	0	+12	20
4	Lechia Gdansk	8	6	2	0	+10	20
5	Stal Mielec	10	6	2	2	+3	20
6	Radomiak Radom	8	5	3	0	+7	18
7	Jagiellonia	10	4	4	2	+4	16
8	Gornik Zabrze	9	5	1	3	+3	16
9	Rakow	7	4	3	0	+9	15
10	Cracovia	8	4	2	2	+3	14
11	Slask Wroclaw	8	3	4	1	+3	13
12	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	+1	13
13	Zaglebie	9	4	1	4	+0	13
14	Wisla	8	3	1	4	-3	10
15	Legia	7	3	0	4	-2	9
16	Nieciecza	9	2	3	4	-4	9
17	Leczna	9	1	4	4	-10	7
18	Warta Poznan	9	0	5	4	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	10	5	2	3	+1	17
2	Lech Poznan	9	4	3	2	+4	15
3	Lechia Gdansk	9	3	4	2	+2	13
4	Radomiak Radom	9	3	4	2	+2	13
5	Pogon Szczecin	9	3	4	2	+2	13
6	Slask Wroclaw	9	3	2	4	+0	11
7	Cracovia	9	2	3	4	-4	9
8	Piast Gliwice	8	2	2	4	-1	8
9	Gornik Zabrze	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Wisla	10	2	2	6	-9	8
11	Stal Mielec	8	1	4	3	-3	7
12	Warta Poznan	8	2	1	5	-4	7
13	Zaglebie	8	2	1	5	-11	7
14	Jagiellonia	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Leczna	8	1	2	5	-10	5
16	Nieciecza	8	0	3	5	-5	3
17	Legia	8	1	0	7	-9	3
18	Wisla Plock	9	1	0	8	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.