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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Malec

Zaglebie

T T U T S

2–1

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 35%

26%

44%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

37%

52%

Both score Ø 45%

41%

48%

Average goals

2,3

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,4

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,41 xG 1,02

31% Possession 69%

14 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zaglebie 15. · Gornik Zabrze 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	27	16	8	3	+23	+11.1	56
2	Lech Poznan	27	17	2	8	+26	+9.1	53
3	Jagiellonia	27	15	7	5	+16	+3.7	52
4	Pogon Szczecin	27	14	5	8	+17	+12.2	47
5	Legia	27	12	8	7	+14	+9.6	44
6	Cracovia	27	11	9	7	+7	-3.8	42
7	Gornik Zabrze	27	12	4	11	+5	+5.5	40
8	Motor Lublin	27	11	7	9	-6	+0.1	40
9	GKS Katowice	27	10	6	11	-1	-0.1	36
10	Widzew Lodz	27	10	6	11	-7	-4.0	36
11	Piast Gliwice	27	8	10	9	-2	-3.6	34
12	Radomiak Radom	27	10	4	13	-4	-0.0	34
13	Korona Kielce	27	8	9	10	-11	-1.3	33
14	Puszcza	27	6	8	13	-13	-13.4	26
15	Zaglebie	27	7	5	15	-18	-7.5	26
16	Stal Mielec	27	6	6	15	-15	+0.3	24
17	Lechia Gdansk	27	6	6	15	-19	-16.5	24
18	Slask Wroclaw	27	4	10	13	-12	-1.3	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	14	12	0	2	+25	+8.3	36
2	Pogon Szczecin	14	11	1	2	+18	+13.5	34
3	Jagiellonia	14	9	4	1	+16	+5.5	31
4	Legia	13	8	3	2	+15	+8.6	27
5	Rakow	13	7	3	3	+9	+6.0	24
6	Gornik Zabrze	14	7	2	5	+7	+6.4	23
7	Widzew Lodz	14	7	2	5	+0	+0.1	23
8	GKS Katowice	13	6	4	3	+6	-3.1	22
9	Motor Lublin	13	6	4	3	+4	+0.9	22
10	Radomiak Radom	14	5	4	5	+4	+3.7	19
11	Stal Mielec	14	5	4	5	-1	+5.2	19
12	Cracovia	14	4	6	4	+2	-0.7	18
13	Puszcza	13	4	5	4	-1	-1.5	17
14	Korona Kielce	13	5	2	6	-3	+3.9	17
15	Slask Wroclaw	14	3	6	5	-1	-0.7	15
16	Piast Gliwice	13	3	6	4	-3	-0.4	15
17	Zaglebie	13	4	2	7	-6	-3.8	14
18	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	2	7	-8	-8.7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	14	9	5	0	+14	+5.2	32
2	Cracovia	13	7	3	3	+5	-3.1	24
3	Jagiellonia	13	6	3	4	+0	-1.8	21
4	Piast Gliwice	14	5	4	5	+1	-3.2	19
5	Motor Lublin	14	5	3	6	-10	-0.9	18
6	Lech Poznan	13	5	2	6	+1	+0.7	17
7	Legia	14	4	5	5	-1	+1.0	17
8	Gornik Zabrze	13	5	2	6	-2	-0.8	17
9	Korona Kielce	14	3	7	4	-8	-5.2	16
10	Radomiak Radom	13	5	0	8	-8	-3.7	15
11	GKS Katowice	14	4	2	8	-7	+3.0	14
12	Pogon Szczecin	13	3	4	6	-1	-1.3	13
13	Widzew Lodz	13	3	4	6	-7	-4.0	13
14	Zaglebie	14	3	3	8	-12	-3.8	12
15	Lechia Gdansk	14	2	4	8	-11	-7.8	10
16	Puszcza	14	2	3	9	-12	-11.9	9
17	Slask Wroclaw	13	1	4	8	-11	-0.7	7
18	Stal Mielec	13	1	2	10	-14	-4.9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.