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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Hamburg
T S S U S
2–4
Full-time
Braunschweig
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Braunschweig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 36%
50%
21%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
71%
50%
Both score Ø 61%
64%
57%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%
11 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 1. · Braunschweig 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 28 14 10 4 +29 52
2 FC Koln 28 15 5 8 +9 50
3 Magdeburg 28 12 10 6 +14 46
4 Kaiserslautern 28 13 7 8 +6 46
5 Paderborn 28 12 9 7 +10 45
6 Elversberg 28 12 8 8 +19 44
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 28 12 8 8 +4 44
8 Hannover 28 11 10 7 +7 43
9 Nurnberg 28 12 5 11 +3 41
10 Karlsruhe 28 11 7 10 -3 40
11 Schalke 04 28 10 7 11 -2 37
12 Hertha 28 10 5 13 -2 35
13 Darmstadt 28 9 7 12 +2 34
14 Greuther Furth 28 9 7 12 -12 34
15 Preußen Münster 28 6 9 13 -8 27
16 Braunschweig 28 6 9 13 -24 27
17 Ulm 28 4 11 13 -7 23
18 Regensburg 28 5 4 19 -45 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Braunschweig
40′
L. Bell Bell 0–1
R. Philippe
41′
S. Hefti 1–1
own goal
44′
🟨 Sven Köhler
Half-time 1–1
R. Königsdörffer 🔁
↦ M. Richter
46′
Fábio Baldé 🔁
↦ E. Sahiti
46′
I. Pherai 🔁
↦ A. Karabec
46′
48′
🟨 Robin Krausse
57′
🟨 Paul Jaeckel
Daniel Elfadli 🟨
60′
R. Glatzel 🔁
↦ S. Hefti
64′
66′
🔁 J. Baas
↦ R. Krauße
66′
🔁 K. Ehlers
↦ P. Jaeckel
Łukasz Poręba 🟨
69′
74′
🟨 Lino Tempelmann
2–1 D. Selke
J. Dompé
74′
J. Meffert 🔁
↦ Ł. Poręba
81′
81′
🔁 C. Conteh
↦ R. Tachie
81′
🔁 E. Bičakčić
↦ M. Marie
84′
J. Baas 2–2
L. Tempelmann
85′
R. Philippe 2–3
C. Conteh
87′
🔁 S. Polter
↦ R. Philippe
Immanuel Pherai 🟨
88′
3–3 D. Selke
95′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
2 W. Mikelbrencis D
4 S. Schonlau D
8 Daniel Elfadli D
30 S. Hefti D
17 A. Karabec M
6 Ł. Poręba M
20 M. Richter M
29 E. Sahiti F
27 D. Selke F
7 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
11 R. Königsdörffer
45 Fábio Baldé
10 I. Pherai
9 R. Glatzel
23 J. Meffert
12 T. Mickel
49 O. Stange
39 J. Agyekum
5 D. Hadžikadunić

Coach: M. Polzin

Braunschweig

3-5-2
1 R. Hoffmann G
3 P. Jaeckel D
27 S. Köhler D
4 J. Nikolaou D
18 M. Rittmüller M
20 L. Tempelmann M
39 R. Krauße M
15 M. Marie M
19 L. Bell Bell M
9 R. Philippe F
29 R. Tachie F
Bench (9)
16 J. Baas
21 K. Ehlers
32 C. Conteh
6 E. Bičakčić
17 S. Polter
7 F. Kaufmann
12 M. Johansson
2 M. Dräger
25 S. Ba

Coach: D. Scherning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,39
U
5,05
B ✓
6,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,40
U2,5
2,83
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.