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Süper Lig

Referee: O Ergün

Samsunspor

U S U T T

0–2

Full-time

Galatasaray

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 29/28 matches

Win Ø 66%

52%

79%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

52%

79%

Both score Ø 55%

41%

68%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,6

2,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,16 xG 1,03

36% Possession 64%

5 Shots 11

0 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 6

4 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 3. · Galatasaray 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	28	22	5	1	+40	+25.8	71
2	Fenerbahce	28	21	5	2	+45	+35.6	68
3	Samsunspor	29	15	6	8	+11	+7.0	51
4	Besiktas	28	13	9	6	+14	+17.3	48
5	Eyüpspor	29	13	8	8	+10	+0.7	47
6	Buyuksehyr	28	12	6	10	+7	+5.4	42
7	Goztep	28	10	9	9	+10	+17.2	39
8	Gaziantep	28	11	6	11	+0	-9.7	39
9	Kasimpasa	29	9	12	8	-3	-1.0	39
10	Antalyaspor	29	11	6	12	-19	-13.7	39
11	Trabzonspor	28	9	9	10	+9	-2.2	36
12	Konyaspor	29	9	7	13	-7	-7.9	34
13	Rizespor	28	10	4	14	-12	+5.1	34
14	Bodrumspor	29	9	6	14	-10	-3.5	33
15	Kayserispor	28	8	9	11	-12	-0.4	33
16	Sivasspor	29	8	7	14	-8	-14.0	31
17	Alanyaspor	29	8	7	14	-11	-2.1	31
18	Hatayspor	28	4	7	17	-23	-25.7	19
19	Ad. Demirspor	28	2	4	22	-41	-33.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	14	12	1	1	+23	+19.1	37
2	Galatasaray	14	11	3	0	+21	+19.5	36
3	Goztep	14	9	4	1	+19	+17.9	31
4	Gaziantep	14	9	3	2	+12	+1.5	30
5	Antalyaspor	15	9	3	3	+2	-0.5	30
6	Besiktas	14	9	2	3	+8	+11.3	29
7	Trabzonspor	14	8	4	2	+17	+4.9	28
8	Buyuksehyr	15	8	4	3	+14	+7.9	28
9	Eyüpspor	14	8	3	3	+10	+3.8	27
10	Samsunspor	14	8	2	4	+8	+11.2	26
11	Sivasspor	15	6	5	4	+7	-2.9	23
12	Konyaspor	14	6	5	3	+4	+1.8	23
13	Alanyaspor	14	6	3	5	+2	+6.4	21
14	Rizespor	14	5	4	5	-1	+10.4	19
15	Kayserispor	14	5	4	5	-2	+3.3	19
16	Bodrumspor	14	5	3	6	+1	-0.8	18
17	Kasimpasa	14	4	6	4	-2	+3.0	18
18	Hatayspor	15	3	5	7	-6	-9.0	14
19	Ad. Demirspor	14	1	2	11	-21	-13.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	11	2	1	+19	+6.3	35
2	Fenerbahce	14	9	4	1	+22	+16.5	31
3	Samsunspor	15	7	4	4	+3	-4.2	25
4	Kasimpasa	15	5	6	4	-1	-3.9	21
5	Eyüpspor	15	5	5	5	+0	-3.2	20
6	Besiktas	14	4	7	3	+6	+6.0	19
7	Rizespor	14	5	0	9	-11	-5.3	15
8	Bodrumspor	15	4	3	8	-11	-2.7	15
9	Buyuksehyr	13	4	2	7	-7	-2.5	14
10	Kayserispor	14	3	5	6	-10	-3.7	14
11	Konyaspor	15	3	2	10	-11	-9.7	11
12	Alanyaspor	15	2	4	9	-13	-8.5	10
13	Gaziantep	14	2	3	9	-12	-11.2	9
14	Antalyaspor	14	2	3	9	-21	-13.2	9
15	Trabzonspor	14	1	5	8	-8	-7.1	8
16	Goztep	14	1	5	8	-9	-0.7	8
17	Sivasspor	14	2	2	10	-15	-11.1	8
18	Hatayspor	13	1	2	10	-17	-16.7	5
19	Ad. Demirspor	14	1	2	11	-20	-20.8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.