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Ligue 2

Referee: P Legat

Rodez

T S U U S

2–2

Full-time

Caen

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 24%

31%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

62%

48%

Both score Ø 56%

66%

45%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,7

0,9

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rodez 12. · Caen 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	29	19	4	6	+29	61
2	Paris FC	29	18	4	7	+18	58
3	Metz	29	16	9	4	+27	57
4	Dunkerque	29	16	3	10	+7	51
5	Guingamp	29	15	3	11	+11	48
6	Laval	29	12	7	10	+8	43
7	Bastia	29	9	14	6	+4	41
8	Annecy	29	11	8	10	-5	41
9	Grenoble	29	11	7	11	+1	40
10	Ajaccio	29	11	4	14	-9	37
11	Pau FC	29	9	10	10	-11	37
12	Rodez	29	9	8	12	+3	35
13	Troyes	29	10	4	15	+0	34
14	Red Star	29	9	7	13	-13	34
15	Amiens	29	10	4	15	-14	34
16	Martigues	29	8	4	17	-22	28
17	Clermont	29	6	9	14	-15	27
18	Caen	29	5	5	19	-19	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	15	13	1	1	+29	40
2	Paris FC	15	11	2	2	+15	35
3	Metz	15	10	4	1	+22	34
4	Dunkerque	15	11	0	4	+12	33
5	Bastia	14	7	7	0	+12	28
6	Guingamp	14	8	2	4	+14	26
7	Grenoble	15	7	5	3	+7	26
8	Ajaccio	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Amiens	14	8	2	4	+2	26
10	Pau FC	14	7	4	3	+2	25
11	Annecy	14	7	3	4	+4	24
12	Laval	14	6	3	5	+5	21
13	Red Star	14	6	3	5	-2	21
14	Rodez	14	6	2	6	+2	20
15	Troyes	14	5	3	6	+3	18
16	Clermont	15	2	8	5	-1	14
17	Caen	15	3	4	8	-6	13
18	Martigues	15	3	2	10	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	14	6	5	3	+5	23
2	Paris FC	14	7	2	5	+3	23
3	Laval	15	6	4	5	+3	22
4	Guingamp	15	7	1	7	-3	22
5	Lorient	14	6	3	5	+0	21
6	Dunkerque	14	5	3	6	-5	18
7	Annecy	15	4	5	6	-9	17
8	Martigues	14	5	2	7	-11	17
9	Troyes	15	5	1	9	-3	16
10	Rodez	15	3	6	6	+1	15
11	Grenoble	14	4	2	8	-6	14
12	Bastia	15	2	7	6	-8	13
13	Red Star	15	3	4	8	-11	13
14	Clermont	14	4	1	9	-14	13
15	Pau FC	15	2	6	7	-13	12
16	Ajaccio	14	3	2	9	-13	11
17	Amiens	15	2	2	11	-16	8
18	Caen	14	2	1	11	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.