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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Amiens
T T S U T
1–0
Full-time
Dunkerque
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 45%
34%
55%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%
4 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 15. · Dunkerque 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 29 19 4 6 +29 61
2 Paris FC 29 18 4 7 +18 58
3 Metz 29 16 9 4 +27 57
4 Dunkerque 29 16 3 10 +7 51
5 Guingamp 29 15 3 11 +11 48
6 Laval 29 12 7 10 +8 43
7 Bastia 29 9 14 6 +4 41
8 Annecy 29 11 8 10 -5 41
9 Grenoble 29 11 7 11 +1 40
10 Ajaccio 29 11 4 14 -9 37
11 Pau FC 29 9 10 10 -11 37
12 Rodez 29 9 8 12 +3 35
13 Troyes 29 10 4 15 +0 34
14 Red Star 29 9 7 13 -13 34
15 Amiens 29 10 4 15 -14 34
16 Martigues 29 8 4 17 -22 28
17 Clermont 29 6 9 14 -15 27
18 Caen 29 5 5 19 -19 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Dunkerque
Sébastien Corchia 🟨
43′
Louis Mafouta 🟥
43′
Half-time 0–0
M. Mbaye 🔁
↦ R. Lutin
46′
46′
🔁 A. Ba
↦ Muhannad Al Saad
59′
🔁 Y. Bammou
↦ Diogo Queirós
1–0 M. Mbaye
V. Lobry
60′
69′
🔁 Núrio Fortuna
↦ Abner
69′
🔁 M. Rivera
↦ G. Yassine
Y. Rafii 🔁
↦ V. Lobry
79′
Régis Gurtner 🟨
83′
M. Tine 🔁
↦ A. Léautey
91′
A. Chabane 🔁
↦ S. Corchia
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
6 A. Aït Boudlal D
13 M. Jaouab D
19 R. Vita D
45 I. Fofana M
37 T. Monconduit M
7 A. Léautey M
8 V. Lobry M
27 R. Lutin M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
11 M. Mbaye
51 Y. Rafii
58 M. Tine
39 A. Chabane
16 A. Sauvage
18 M. Manitu
41 K. Kouassi

Coach: O. Daf

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
1 E. Jaouen G
2 A. Georgen D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 V. Sasso D
30 Abner D
5 Diogo Queirós M
77 Muhannad Al Saad M
22 N. Skyttä M
20 E. Bardeli M
80 G. Yassine M
18 G. Courtet F
Bench (7)
31 A. Ba
19 Y. Bammou
25 Núrio Fortuna
8 M. Rivera
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz
11 A. Pitu
24 I. Koné

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,99
U
3,56
B
1,87
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.