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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

Aalborg

U T S T U

2–2

Full-time

Lyngby

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Lyngby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 17%

21%

13%

Points per game

0,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

63%

33%

Both score Ø 46%

42%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%

12 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalborg 9. · Lyngby 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	24	13	8	3	+16	+13.5	47
2	Midtjylland	24	14	3	7	+12	+4.9	45
3	Aarhus	24	10	9	5	+20	+9.8	39
4	Brondby	24	10	9	5	+13	+6.8	39
5	Randers FC	24	10	8	6	+11	+9.0	38
6	Silkeborg	24	9	9	6	+9	+4.2	36
7	Nordsjaelland	24	10	5	9	+0	+6.5	35
8	Viborg	24	9	7	8	+4	-6.8	34
9	Aalborg	24	5	7	12	-22	-18.8	22
10	Sonderjyske	24	5	5	14	-25	-15.2	20
11	Lyngby	24	3	9	12	-13	-5.0	18
12	Vejle	24	4	5	15	-25	-9.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	12	10	0	2	+9	+4.2	30
2	FC Copenhagen	12	8	4	0	+12	+9.8	28
3	Aarhus	12	7	5	0	+18	+8.2	26
4	Nordsjaelland	12	7	4	1	+11	+5.3	25
5	Brondby	12	6	5	1	+9	+4.5	23
6	Viborg	12	7	2	3	+4	-4.3	23
7	Randers FC	12	6	3	3	+8	+6.8	21
8	Silkeborg	12	5	4	3	+3	+1.0	19
9	Sonderjyske	12	3	3	6	-13	-8.4	12
10	Aalborg	12	3	3	6	-13	-9.6	12
11	Lyngby	12	2	5	5	-6	+0.0	11
12	Vejle	12	2	4	6	-10	-1.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	12	5	4	3	+4	+3.8	19
2	Silkeborg	12	4	5	3	+6	+3.2	17
3	Randers FC	12	4	5	3	+3	+2.2	17
4	Brondby	12	4	4	4	+4	+2.3	16
5	Midtjylland	12	4	3	5	+3	+0.7	15
6	Aarhus	12	3	4	5	+2	+1.6	13
7	Viborg	12	2	5	5	+0	-2.5	11
8	Aalborg	12	2	4	6	-9	-9.2	10
9	Nordsjaelland	12	3	1	8	-11	+1.1	10
10	Sonderjyske	12	2	2	8	-12	-6.8	8
11	Lyngby	12	1	4	7	-7	-5.0	7
12	Vejle	12	2	1	9	-15	-8.1	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.