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Puchar Polski

Referee: J Małyszek

Stal Stalowa Wola

T S T S

2–2

Full-time

Arka Gdynia

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Stalowa Wola Arka Gdynia

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Grudziądz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Polonia Bytom	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Lech Poznań II	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Wigry Suwałki	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Kluczbork	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	ŁKS Łódź II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Avia Świdnik	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Wigry Suwałki	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Kluczbork	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Avia Świdnik	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznań II	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	ŁKS Łódź II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Polonia Bytom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.