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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Korona Kielce
S U S T S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Radomiak Radom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
26%
39%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
43%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
61%
39%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
24 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 9
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Korona Kielce 17. · Radomiak Radom 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 24 18 4 2 +32 58
2 Legia 23 13 7 3 +9 46
3 Lech Poznan 23 11 6 6 +10 39
4 Widzew Lodz 23 10 6 7 +4 36
5 Pogon Szczecin 23 10 6 7 +1 36
6 Cracovia 23 9 6 8 +7 33
7 Warta Poznan 23 9 6 8 +5 33
8 Radomiak Radom 23 9 5 9 +0 32
9 Wisla Plock 23 9 4 10 +1 31
10 Stal Mielec 23 8 5 10 -2 29
11 Slask Wroclaw 24 7 8 9 -9 29
12 Zaglebie 23 8 5 10 -11 29
13 Piast Gliwice 23 7 5 11 -1 26
14 Jagiellonia 23 5 10 8 +0 25
15 Gornik Zabrze 23 6 7 10 -6 25
16 Lechia Gdansk 24 7 4 13 -15 25
17 Korona Kielce 23 6 5 12 -11 23
18 Legnica 24 4 7 13 -14 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Korona Kielce Radomiak Radom
6′
Leonardo Rocha 0–1
Luís Machado
43′
🟨 Luís Machado
1–1 E. Shikavka
R. Deaconu
44′
Half-time 1–1
Marius Briceag 🟨
59′
D. Błanik 🔁
↦ M. Godinho
60′
Ronaldo Deaconu 🟨
71′
71′
🔁 D. Pik
↦ Lisandro Semedo
72′
🟨 Damian Jakubik
J. Podgórski 🔁
↦ J. Łukowski
75′
D. Takáč 🔁
↦ Nono
75′
86′
🟨 Francisco Ramos
K. Kostorz 🔁
↦ E. Shikavka
91′
2–1 K. Kostorz
D. Błanik
93′
98′
🔁 F. Castañeda
↦ R. Alves
98′
🔁 K. Okoniewski
↦ Luís Machado
99′
🔁 J. Nowakowski
↦ Berto Cayarga
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Korona Kielce

4-1-4-1
1 K. Forenc G
2 D. Zator D
4 P. Malarczyk D
66 M. Trojak D
5 M. Briceag D
90 K. Petrov M
28 M. Godinho M
13 R. Deaconu M
11 Nono M
7 J. Łukowski M
99 E. Shikavka F
Bench (9)
17 D. Błanik
6 J. Podgórski
8 D. Takáč
9 K. Kostorz
19 J. Konstantyn
10 J. Kiełb
73 M. Zapytowski
23 A. Danek
22 A. Deja

Coach: K. Kuzera

Radomiak Radom

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobylak G
14 D. Jakubik D
29 Raphael Rossi D
92 M. Cestor D
33 D. Abramowicz D
88 Chico Ramos M
10 R. Alves M
7 Lisandro Semedo M
80 Berto Cayarga M
20 Luís Machado M
17 Leonardo Rocha F
Bench (9)
11 D. Pik
70 F. Castañeda
18 K. Okoniewski
90 J. Nowakowski
77 C. Donis
19 J. Sarmiento
2 T. Cele
12 A. Posiadała
16 M. Cichocki

Coach: M. Lewandowski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Marciniak · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.