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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Raczkowski

Radomiak Radom

T T T S T

4–0

Full-time

Korona Kielce

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 27%

29%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

86%

25%

Both score Ø 62%

86%

38%

Average goals

3,6

1,9

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

2,1

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,64 xG 0,59

56% Possession 44%

18 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Radomiak Radom 16. · Korona Kielce 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	+13	+4.2	19
2	Cracovia	8	5	1	2	+4	-1.0	16
3	Piast Gliwice	8	4	3	1	+3	+1.6	15
4	Legia	8	4	2	2	+7	+4.3	14
5	Rakow	8	4	2	2	+3	+3.9	14
6	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	1	3	+4	+2.6	13
7	Widzew Lodz	8	3	3	2	+1	-3.2	12
8	Jagiellonia	7	4	0	3	-3	-1.5	12
9	GKS Katowice	8	2	3	3	+0	-1.7	9
10	Motor Lublin	7	2	3	2	-2	-2.0	9
11	Korona Kielce	8	2	3	3	-3	-3.6	9
12	Puszcza	8	1	5	2	+0	+0.3	8
13	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	2	4	-3	-0.6	8
14	Zaglebie	8	2	2	4	-4	-1.7	8
15	Lechia Gdansk	8	2	2	4	-6	-3.5	8
16	Radomiak Radom	7	2	0	5	-5	-0.3	6
17	Slask Wroclaw	6	0	4	2	-4	+2.0	4
18	Stal Mielec	7	1	1	5	-5	+0.1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	4	4	0	0	+11	+4.5	12
2	Pogon Szczecin	4	4	0	0	+8	+6.1	12
3	Legia	5	3	0	2	+6	+6.0	9
4	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+3	+2.3	9
5	Piast Gliwice	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.3	8
6	Widzew Lodz	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
7	Zaglebie	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.0	7
8	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.4	7
9	Puszcza	4	1	3	0	+3	+2.0	6
10	Korona Kielce	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.5	6
11	GKS Katowice	5	1	2	2	+0	-1.4	5
12	Motor Lublin	4	1	2	1	-1	-0.8	5
13	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.4	4
14	Stal Mielec	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.2	4
15	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.3	4
16	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.0	3
17	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.5	3
18	Rakow	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	5	4	1	0	+5	+3.1	13
2	Cracovia	4	3	0	1	+4	-0.6	9
3	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.2	7
4	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+0	+1.4	7
5	Legia	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.7	5
6	Widzew Lodz	5	1	2	2	-1	-3.1	5
7	GKS Katowice	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.3	4
8	Motor Lublin	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.2	4
9	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.0	4
10	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	1	2	-4	-1.2	4
11	Korona Kielce	4	0	3	1	-3	-4.0	3
12	Radomiak Radom	4	1	0	3	-4	-2.8	3
13	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	-6	-3.8	3
14	Puszcza	4	0	2	2	-3	-1.7	2
15	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	1	2	-4	+0.1	1
16	Pogon Szczecin	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.4	1
17	Zaglebie	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.7	1
18	Stal Mielec	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.