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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

Zaglebie

S U S S S

0–1

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 44%

46%

42%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

54%

71%

Both score Ø 65%

58%

71%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,56 xG 2,15

37% Possession 63%

14 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zaglebie 1. · Lech Poznan 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zaglebie	24	11	8	5	+12	-1.6	41
2	Jagiellonia	24	10	8	6	+9	-2.5	38
3	Lech Poznan	24	10	8	6	+5	+16.2	38
4	Rakow	24	11	4	9	+4	+7.1	37
5	Lechia Gdansk	25	10	6	9	+2	+2.8	36
6	GKS Katowice	24	11	3	10	+2	-6.8	36
7	Wisla Plock	25	9	9	7	+2	-0.4	36
8	Gornik Zabrze	24	10	5	9	+2	-3.8	35
9	Motor Lublin	25	8	10	7	-4	-6.7	34
10	Radomiak Radom	25	8	9	8	+4	+1.1	33
11	Cracovia	25	8	9	8	+2	+3.6	33
12	Korona Kielce	24	9	6	9	+2	-4.0	33
13	Piast Gliwice	25	9	5	11	-3	-5.9	32
14	Pogon Szczecin	24	9	4	11	-4	+8.2	31
15	Arka Gdynia	25	8	6	11	-16	-6.4	30
16	Legia	25	6	11	8	-1	+0.2	29
17	Widzew Lodz	25	8	4	13	-3	+4.9	28
18	Nieciecza	25	5	7	13	-15	-5.9	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arka Gdynia	13	7	5	1	+5	-3.6	26
2	Radomiak Radom	13	7	3	3	+14	+7.6	24
3	Wisla Plock	13	7	3	3	+5	+1.9	24
4	Zaglebie	12	6	5	1	+13	+3.2	23
5	Pogon Szczecin	12	7	2	3	+8	+9.0	23
6	GKS Katowice	13	7	2	4	+5	-1.4	23
7	Gornik Zabrze	12	7	1	4	+9	+2.5	22
8	Lechia Gdansk	12	6	3	3	+10	+3.8	21
9	Jagiellonia	11	6	2	3	+9	+2.3	20
10	Legia	12	5	4	3	+5	+1.5	19
11	Lech Poznan	12	5	4	3	+3	+10.8	19
12	Motor Lublin	13	4	7	2	+3	+0.9	19
13	Widzew Lodz	12	5	3	4	+2	+2.9	18
14	Rakow	12	5	3	4	+2	+4.4	18
15	Cracovia	12	4	5	3	+3	+6.4	17
16	Korona Kielce	12	5	2	5	+2	+0.8	17
17	Piast Gliwice	12	4	3	5	-1	-0.1	15
18	Nieciecza	13	2	4	7	-9	-3.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	12	6	1	5	+2	+2.7	19
2	Lech Poznan	12	5	4	3	+2	+5.4	19
3	Jagiellonia	13	4	6	3	+0	-4.8	18
4	Zaglebie	12	5	3	4	-1	-4.7	18
5	Piast Gliwice	13	5	2	6	-2	-5.8	17
6	Korona Kielce	12	4	4	4	+0	-4.9	16
7	Cracovia	13	4	4	5	-1	-2.8	16
8	Motor Lublin	12	4	3	5	-7	-7.7	15
9	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	3	6	-8	-0.9	15
10	GKS Katowice	11	4	1	6	-3	-5.4	13
11	Gornik Zabrze	12	3	4	5	-7	-6.4	13
12	Wisla Plock	12	2	6	4	-3	-2.3	12
13	Nieciecza	12	3	3	6	-6	-2.8	12
14	Widzew Lodz	13	3	1	9	-5	+2.0	10
15	Legia	13	1	7	5	-6	-1.3	10
16	Radomiak Radom	12	1	6	5	-10	-6.5	9
17	Pogon Szczecin	12	2	2	8	-12	-0.8	8
18	Arka Gdynia	12	1	1	10	-21	-2.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.