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Championship
Referee: L Doughty
Coventry
T S T T U
2–3
Full-time
Hull
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 42/43 matches
Win Ø 41%
40%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
62%
58%
Both score Ø 63%
62%
63%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,56 xG 1,87
55% Possession 45%
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Coventry 8. · Hull 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 44 30 4 10 +47 +36.4 94
2 Ipswich 43 26 11 6 +32 +24.7 89
3 Leeds 42 25 9 8 +41 +37.2 84
4 Southampton 42 23 9 10 +21 +30.5 78
5 West Brom 42 20 12 10 +26 +7.2 72
6 Norwich 42 21 9 12 +18 -0.4 72
7 Hull 43 18 12 13 +8 +6.2 66
8 Coventry 42 17 12 13 +14 +11.1 63
9 Middlesbrough 44 18 9 17 +4 +11.1 63
10 Preston 44 18 9 17 -5 -13.6 63
11 Cardiff 44 19 5 20 -11 -24.8 62
12 Bristol City 44 16 11 17 +4 -1.4 59
13 Sunderland 44 16 8 20 +1 +7.6 56
14 Swansea 44 15 11 18 -5 -5.6 56
15 Watford 44 12 17 15 +1 -1.7 53
16 Millwall 44 14 11 19 -12 -11.2 53
17 Stoke 44 13 11 20 -16 -3.3 50
18 QPR 44 13 11 20 -16 -4.2 50
19 Blackburn 44 13 10 21 -16 -9.4 49
20 Plymouth 44 12 12 20 -11 -21.0 48
21 Sheffield Weds 44 13 8 23 -29 -8.4 47
22 Birmingham 44 12 10 22 -16 -8.6 46
23 Huddersfield 44 9 17 18 -27 -13.0 44
24 Rotherham 44 4 12 28 -53 -45.4 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Coventry Hull
31′
J. Philogene 0–1
Fábio Carvalho
1–1 K. Palmer
36′
42′
🟨 Tyler Morton
Half-time 1–2
46′
Fábio Carvalho 1–2
E. Simms 🔁
↦ J. Bidwell
46′
H. Wright 🔁
↦ M. Godden
46′
Ben Sheaf 🟨
47′
Josh Eccles 🟨
47′
48′
🟨 Jaden Philogene-Bidace
48′
🟨 Fabio Carvalho
2–2 B. Thomas
J. Dasilva
58′
59′
🔁 L. Coyle
↦ T. Morton
M. van Ewijk 🔁
↦ J. Latibeaudiere
60′
L. Kitching 🔁
↦ L. Binks
65′
68′
🟨 Alfie Jones
69′
🔁 R. Giles
↦ M. Jacob
J. Allen 🔁
↦ B. Sheaf
76′
76′
🔁 O. Tufan
↦ L. Delap
76′
🔁 N. Ohio
↦ A. Ömür
78′
N. Ohio 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Coventry

4-4-1-1
40 B. Collins G
22 J. Latibeaudiere D
4 B. Thomas D
2 L. Binks D
21 J. Bidwell D
28 J. Eccles M
6 L. Kelly M
14 B. Sheaf M
3 J. Dasilva M
45 K. Palmer F
24 M. Godden F
Bench (9)
9 E. Simms
11 H. Wright
27 M. van Ewijk
15 L. Kitching
8 J. Allen
54 K. Andrews
13 B. Wilson
59 A. Dausch
41 D. Lusala

Coach: M. Robins

Hull

4-4-2
17 R. Allsop G
27 R. Slater D
5 A. Jones D
4 J. Greaves D
29 M. Jacob D
50 A. Ömür M
15 T. Morton M
24 J. Seri M
23 J. Philogene M
20 L. Delap F
45 Fábio Carvalho F
Bench (9)
2 L. Coyle
3 R. Giles
7 O. Tufan
9 N. Ohio
12 B. Sharp
1 M. Ingram
6 S. McLoughlin
33 C. Christie
10 A. Traoré

Coach: L. Rosenior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,24
U
3,65
B ✓
3,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,18
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Doughty · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.