Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Westbury United
Sherborne Town
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Roman Glass St George
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bootle
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sutton Coldfield Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Wokingham Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Pickering Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Belper United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Hartley Wintney
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Guernsey
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 9 |
Bedfont Sports
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Enfield 1893
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Wormley Rovers
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 |
Brislington
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Penrith AFC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Uttoxeter Town
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Hamworthy Recreation
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Stone Old Alleynians
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |
1874 Northwich
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 |
Nailsea & Tickenham
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Plymouth Parkway
Westbury United
Westbury United
AFC Totton
Westbury United
AFC Portchester
Westbury United
Hamble Club
Hamble Club
Westbury United
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.