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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Kilmarnock
S S S T T
2–2
Full-time
Livingston
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,60 xG 1,44
36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Feb -24 Kilmarnock – Livingston 1–0 16. Dec -23 Livingston – Kilmarnock 0–0 21. Oct -23 Kilmarnock – Livingston 3–1 13. May -23 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–0 4. Feb -23 Livingston – Kilmarnock 3–1

Match report

Kilmarnock Livingston
1–0 D. Daniels ⚽
L. Polworth
38′
Djenairo Daniels ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
40′
2–0 D. Watson ⚽
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Z. Rudden
↦ G. Carey
49′
🟨 Adam Montgomery
B. Anderson 🔁
↦ D. Daniels
61′
64′
ℹ️ Robbie Muirhead
VAR: Penalty confirmed
George Stanger 🟥
65′
66′
⚽ R. Muirhead 2–1
R. McKenzie 🔁
↦ M. Dackers
68′
72′
🔁 L. Smith
↦ A. Winter
Bradley Lyons 🟨
73′
77′
🔁 S. May
↦ M. Sylla
Bruce Anderson 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 J. Bokila
↦ R. Muirhead
J. Thomson 🔁
↦ T. Lowery
85′
86′
⚽ S. Pittman 2–2
L. Smith
89′
🟨 Daniel Finlayson
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-4-1-2
1 M. Stryjek G
8 B. Lyons D
14 G. Stanger D
5 L. Mayo D
2 J. Brandon M
31 L. Polworth M
18 T. Lowery M
26 B. Brannan M
12 D. Watson F
9 M. Dackers F
29 D. Daniels F
Bench (9)
3 D. Thompson
7 R. McKenzie
11 G. Kiltie
19 B. Anderson
22 J. Thomson
23 M. Watkins
25 E. Schilte-Brown
30 E. Beach
38 A. Traynor

Coach: Stuart Kettlewell

Livingston

4-3-3
28 J. Prior G
19 D. Finlayson D
5 R. McGowan D
27 D. Wilson D
3 A. Montgomery D
25 M. Tait M
24 M. Sylla M
8 S. Pittman M
16 A. Winter F
9 R. Muirhead F
10 G. Carey F
Bench (9)
4 S. Blaney
7 Z. Rudden
14 J. Hamilton
15 L. Smith
17 S. May
18 J. Bokila
22 A. Shinnie
36 S. Culbert
37 J. Wanner

Coach: David Paul Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,00
🔒
U ✓
3,47
🔒
B
3,55
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,92
🔒
U2,5
1,82
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.