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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Prigan
Paderborn
S U S S T
2–1
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,01 xG 0,58
47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Feb -24 Paderborn – Holstein Kiel 0–4 2. Sep -23 Holstein Kiel – Paderborn 2–1 25. Feb -23 Holstein Kiel – Paderborn 1–1 20. Aug -22 Paderborn – Holstein Kiel 7–2 4. Mar -22 Holstein Kiel – Paderborn 3–4

Match report

Paderborn Holstein Kiel
26′
🟨 David Zec
1–0 M. Hoffmeier ⚽
29′
40′
🟨 Ivan Nekić
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 F. Porath
↦ L. Rosenboom
56′
🔁 J. Therkelsen
↦ S. Schwab
56′
🔁 P. Harres
↦ S. Skrzybski
Luis Engelns ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
60′
M. Hansen 🔁
↦ S. Castaneda
69′
Laurin Curda 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 R. Wagner
↦ K. Davidsen
S. Klaas 🔁
↦ N. Batzner
78′
A. Grimaldi 🔁
↦ L. Copado
78′
F. Gotze 🔁
↦ T. Scheller
84′
S. Marino 🔁
↦ L. Engelns
84′
84′
⚽ A. Gigovic 1–1
87′
🔁 M. Knudsen
↦ A. Gigovic
2–1 F. Bilbija ⚽
L. Curda
90′
99′
🟨 Robert Wagner
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-4-2-1
41 D. Seimen G
33 M. Hoffmeier D
25 T. Scheller D
4 C. Brackelmann D
17 L. Curda M
6 L. Engelns M
5 S. Castaneda M
23 R. Obermair M
7 F. Bilbija F
9 N. Batzner F
28 L. Copado F
Bench (9)
1 M. Schubert
14 M. Baur
18 M. Worner
20 F. Gotze
22 M. Hansen
26 S. Klaas
30 S. Marino
39 A. Grimaldi
42 K. Krumme

Coach: Ralf Kettemann

Holstein Kiel

3-4-3
21 J. Krumrey G
13 I. Nekic D
26 D. Zec D
6 M. Ivezic D
23 L. Rosenboom M
22 S. Schwab M
15 K. Davidsen M
47 J. Tolkin M
11 A. Bernhardsson F
7 S. Skrzybski F
37 A. Gigovic F
Bench (9)
1 T. Weiner
8 F. Porath
10 J. Therkelsen
14 M. Geschwill
19 P. Harres
24 M. Knudsen
25 M. Muller
29 N. Niehoff
39 R. Wagner

Coach: Tim Walter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
🔒
U
3,69
🔒
B
2,91
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,53
🔒
U2,5
2,37
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Prigan · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.