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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Sarpsborg 08

S S U U T

1–4

Full-time

Brann

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Brann

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 45%

33%

56%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

53%

69%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

56%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,91 xG 1,83

34% Possession 66%

13 Shots 31

4 Shots on target 11

5 Blocked shots 10

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 14

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 8. · Brann 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	18	12	3	3	+20	+16.1	39
2	Bodo/Glimt	16	11	2	3	+25	+22.4	35
3	Tromso	16	10	2	4	+6	+5.3	32
4	Rosenborg	17	8	6	3	+6	+7.9	30
5	Brann	16	9	3	4	+3	+13.8	30
6	Sandefjord	15	9	0	6	+11	-5.3	27
7	Fredrikstad	18	7	5	6	+3	-2.7	26
8	Sarpsborg 08	15	5	7	3	+8	+11.7	22
9	KFUM Oslo	15	6	3	6	+6	+2.6	21
10	Kristiansund	17	5	4	8	-13	-12.9	19
11	Valerenga	16	5	3	8	-5	-2.7	18
12	Bryne	15	5	3	7	-6	-2.6	18
13	Molde	15	5	2	8	-1	-0.2	17
14	Ham-Kam	15	4	5	6	-8	-9.3	17
15	Stromsgodset	16	2	0	14	-18	-17.7	6
16	Haugesund	16	0	2	14	-37	-26.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sandefjord	8	8	0	0	+20	+3.2	24
2	Bodo/Glimt	9	7	0	2	+18	+15.7	21
3	Viking	9	6	2	1	+12	+10.8	20
4	Brann	9	6	2	1	+6	+9.2	20
5	Rosenborg	9	5	4	0	+10	+9.5	19
6	Fredrikstad	10	6	1	3	+7	-1.2	19
7	Tromso	8	5	1	2	+4	+6.0	16
8	Bryne	8	4	1	3	-1	+3.1	13
9	KFUM Oslo	7	3	1	3	+4	+0.9	10
10	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	3	2	+4	+5.2	9
11	Ham-Kam	7	2	3	2	-3	-4.2	9
12	Valerenga	7	2	2	3	+0	+1.3	8
13	Kristiansund	8	2	2	4	-5	-6.4	8
14	Molde	7	2	1	4	-1	+2.5	7
15	Haugesund	8	0	2	6	-19	-7.5	2
16	Stromsgodset	7	0	0	7	-11	-6.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	9	6	1	2	+8	+5.3	19
2	Tromso	8	5	1	2	+2	-0.7	16
3	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	2	1	+7	+6.7	14
4	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	4	1	+4	+6.6	13
5	KFUM Oslo	8	3	2	3	+2	+1.8	11
6	Rosenborg	8	3	2	3	-4	-1.6	11
7	Kristiansund	9	3	2	4	-8	-6.4	11
8	Molde	8	3	1	4	+0	-2.7	10
9	Brann	7	3	1	3	-3	+4.6	10
10	Valerenga	9	3	1	5	-5	-4.1	10
11	Ham-Kam	8	2	2	4	-5	-5.0	8
12	Fredrikstad	8	1	4	3	-4	-1.6	7
13	Stromsgodset	9	2	0	7	-7	-11.6	6
14	Bryne	7	1	2	4	-5	-5.7	5
15	Sandefjord	7	1	0	6	-9	-8.6	3
16	Haugesund	8	0	0	8	-18	-18.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.