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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Burda
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
4,7
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
42%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 55%
42%
67%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 8. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 13 7 6 0 +15 27
2 Hamburg 13 7 3 3 +9 24
3 Holstein Kiel 13 7 2 4 +2 23
4 Hannover 13 6 4 3 +11 22
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 12 6 3 3 +10 21
6 Nurnberg 13 6 3 4 +0 21
7 Elversberg 13 6 3 4 +0 21
8 Greuther Furth 12 5 3 4 +3 18
9 Kaiserslautern 12 5 3 4 +1 18
10 Wehen 12 5 3 4 +1 18
11 Paderborn 13 5 3 5 -2 18
12 Hertha 13 5 2 6 +2 17
13 Magdeburg 12 3 4 5 -1 13
14 Karlsruhe 13 3 4 6 -4 13
15 Hansa Rostock 12 4 1 7 -6 13
16 Schalke 04 13 4 1 8 -8 13
17 Braunschweig 13 2 2 9 -16 8
18 Osnabruck 13 1 4 8 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Fortuna Dusseldorf
45′
🟨 Emmanuel Iyoha
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Wagner
T. Lemperle
48′
Maximilian Dietz 🟨
51′
51′
🟨 Jordy de Wijs
D. Abiama 🔁
↦ T. Lemperle
62′
Robert Wagner 🟨
67′
Julian Green 🟨
68′
Dickson Abiama ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
74′
77′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ D. Jastrzembski
L. Petkov 🔁
↦ A. Sieb
82′
84′
🟨 Jona Niemiec
87′
🔁 K. Manu
↦ F. Klaus
D. Srbeny 🔁
↦ B. Hrgota
91′
Jonas Urbig 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
40 J. Urbig G
23 G. Jung D
4 D. Michalski D
33 M. Dietz D
2 S. Asta M
22 R. Wagner M
37 J. Green M
5 O. Haddadi M
10 B. Hrgota F
19 T. Lemperle F
30 A. Sieb F
Bench (9)
11 D. Abiama
16 L. Petkov
7 D. Srbeny
1 A. Linde
21 K. Çalhanoğlu
13 O. Kiomourtzoglou
18 M. Meyerhöfer
3 O. Mhamdi
14 J. Consbruch

Coach: A. Zorniger

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-3-3
33 F. Kastenmeier G
19 E. Iyoha D
20 J. Siebert D
30 J. de Wijs D
34 N. Gavory D
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M
31 M. Sobottka M
4 A. Tanaka M
11 F. Klaus F
7 C. Tzolis F
27 D. Jastrzembski F
Bench (8)
18 J. Niemiec
43 K. Manu
44 R. Bird
2 T. Uchino
35 D. Bunk
15 T. Oberdorf
1 K. Niemczycki
46 S. Suso

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
3,53
B
2,99
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Burda · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.