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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
5–3
Full-time
Schalke 04
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,7
3,3
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
46%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
54%
77%
Both score Ø 66%
62%
69%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 6. · Schalke 04 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 14 8 6 0 +16 30
2 Hamburg 14 8 3 3 +10 27
3 Elversberg 14 7 3 4 +3 24
4 Hannover 14 6 5 3 +11 23
5 Holstein Kiel 13 7 2 4 +2 23
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 13 6 3 4 +9 21
7 Greuther Furth 13 6 3 4 +4 21
8 Wehen 13 6 3 4 +2 21
9 Nurnberg 13 6 3 4 +0 21
10 Hertha 14 5 3 6 +2 18
11 Kaiserslautern 13 5 3 5 +0 18
12 Paderborn 14 5 3 6 -5 18
13 Magdeburg 14 4 4 6 +0 16
14 Hansa Rostock 14 5 1 8 -6 16
15 Karlsruhe 13 3 4 6 -4 13
16 Schalke 04 13 4 1 8 -8 13
17 Braunschweig 14 2 2 10 -17 8
18 Osnabruck 14 1 4 9 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fortuna Dusseldorf Schalke 04
1–0 V. Vermeij
N. Gavory
13′
2–0 F. Klaus
C. Tzolis
19′
3–0 V. Vermeij
26′
33′
🔁 T. Mohr
↦ T. Ouwejan
33′
🔁 B. Idrizi
↦ D. Drexler
33′
🔁 P. Seguin
↦ L. Tempelmann
38′
🟨 Paul Seguin
Half-time 3–0
A. Tanaka 🔁
↦ M. Sobottka
47′
Ao Tanaka 🟨
54′
57′
M. Kamiński 3–1
B. Lasme
60′
🟨 Ron Schallenberg
4–1 C. Tzolis
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
65′
66′
🔁 K. Topp
↦ R. Schallenberg
73′
T. Kalas 4–2
T. Mohr
75′
B. Lasme 4–3
B. Idrizi
D. Jastrzembski 🔁
↦ Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
76′
S. Appelkamp 🔁
↦ F. Klaus
76′
85′
🔁 S. Polter
↦ B. Lasme
T. Uchino 🔁
↦ N. Gavory
91′
J. Niemiec 🔁
↦ C. Tzolis
92′
5–3 J. Niemiec
D. Jastrzembski
94′
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
19 E. Iyoha D
20 J. Siebert D
15 T. Oberdorf D
34 N. Gavory D
31 M. Sobottka M
6 Y. Engelhardt M
11 F. Klaus M
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M
7 C. Tzolis M
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (7)
4 A. Tanaka
27 D. Jastrzembski
23 S. Appelkamp
18 J. Niemiec
2 T. Uchino
46 S. Suso
1 K. Niemczycki

Coach: D. Thioune

Schalke 04

3-5-2
1 R. Fährmann G
26 T. Kalas D
35 M. Kamiński D
5 D. Murkin D
41 H. Matriciani M
10 L. Tempelmann M
6 R. Schallenberg M
24 D. Drexler M
2 T. Ouwejan M
11 B. Lasme F
19 K. Karaman F
Bench (9)
29 T. Mohr
18 B. Idrizi
7 P. Seguin
42 K. Topp
40 S. Polter
17 Y. Kabadayı
25 T. Baumgartl
9 S. Terodde
28 J. Heekeren

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,88
U
3,82
B
3,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,40
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.