Copa del Rey
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Alcora
Elche
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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The table before the match ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Levante
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |
Algar
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |
Osasuna
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Alcora
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
Albacete
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
Mollerussa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Andorra
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
UD Logroñés
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
Valladolid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Guijuelo
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 11 |
Gimnastic
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Sp Gijon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Santa Amalia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Cazalegas
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Guadalajara
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Velarde
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Saguntino
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Sestao River
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 19 |
Arenas Getxo
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 20 |
Ceuta
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 21 |
Fuentes
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 22 |
Barbadás
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 23 |
Autol
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 24 |
Dinamo San Juan
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 25 |
Montilla
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 26 |
Rincón
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 27 |
Gernika
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 28 |
Leganes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 29 |
Beasain
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Universitario FC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Atlético Lugones
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Los Yébenes SB
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ponferradina
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Turégano
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Amorebieta
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Ferrol
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 37 |
Lugo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 38 |
Utrera
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 39 |
Cardassar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 40 |
Manacor
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 41 |
Navalcarnero
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 42 |
La Coruna
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 43 |
Racing Rioja
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 44 |
Melilla CD
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 45 |
Ceuta 6 de Junio
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 46 |
Amigó
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 47 |
Huétor Tájar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 48 |
Olot
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Match report
Line-ups
Alcora
Bench (11)
Coach: Vicente Pastor
Elche
Gumbau
Josan
Tete Morente
John Nwankwo
E. Ponce
Bench (10)
Coach: Mantecón
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Referee
José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.