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Copa del Rey
Referee: Miguel Ortiz
1–3
Full-time
Valencia
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ejea Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Ejea 48. · Valencia 45.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celta 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Las Palmas 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Betis 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Vallecano 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Barbastro 2 2 0 0 +6 6
6 Valladolid 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Elche 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Huesca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Santander 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 Almeria 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Ourense CF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Eldense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Zaragoza 2 1 1 0 +4 4
14 Granada 2 1 1 0 +2 4
15 Yeclano 2 1 0 1 +5 3
16 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
17 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
18 Deportiva Minera 1 1 0 0 +5 3
19 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +5 3
20 Girona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
21 Unionistas de Salamanca 2 1 0 1 +3 3
22 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 Espanol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Vic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
28 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Barakaldo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Cultural Leonesa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Estepona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Zamora 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Conquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Ejea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Europa Fc 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Gimnastic 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Sp Gijon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
52 Parla Escuela 2 1 0 1 +0 3
53 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Manises 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Sant Andreu 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
58 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Salamanca UDS 2 1 0 1 -6 3
60 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ponferradina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Oviedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Real Ávila 2 0 1 1 -2 1
69 San Tirso 2 0 1 1 -4 1
70 Gévora 2 0 1 1 -5 1
71 Ontiñena 2 0 1 1 -7 1
72 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Don Benito 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Xerez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Cuarte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Llanera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 Levante 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
114 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
115 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
119 Tudelano 1 0 0 1 -5 0
120 Jove Español 1 0 0 1 -5 0
121 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ejea Valencia
D. Iglesias 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Yarek Gąsiorowski
↦ Cristhian Mosquera
46′
🔁 Sergi Canós
↦ Martín Tejón
49′
Iker Córdoba 0–1
Pepelu
60′
🟨 G. Valera
63′
Dani Gómez 0–2
Sergi Canós
Ismael Fadel 🔁
↦ David Iglesias
68′
Ramón López 🔁
↦ B. Fedior
68′
Jorge Álvarez 🔁
↦ Javier Tudela
69′
1–2 Gabri Palmás
71′
72′
🔁 Javi Guerra
↦ Germán Valera
72′
🔁 Luis Rioja
↦ André Almeida
82′
🔁 Rafa Mir
↦ Dani Gómez
Marcos Bravo 🔁
↦ Álvaro Martín
84′
Isaac Boudaoud 🔁
↦ Raúl Sola
87′
91′
Rafa Mir 1–3
Sergi Canós
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ejea

13 David Troya
2 Raúl Sola
21 Álvaro Martín
4 Antonio Ginoves
16 Hakim El Mokh
10 Sergio Carrasco
14 Javier Tudela
8 David Iglesias
19 Gabri Palmás
17 Rodri Val
9 B. Fedior
Bench (10)
20 Ismael Fadel
7 Ramón López
18 Jorge Álvarez
22 Marcos Bravo
12 Isaac Boudaoud
1 Yzan Acin
26 Junior Wellington
23 Pablo Santana
5 Eduardo Mingotes
15 Hassou Diaby

Coach: Iván Martínez

Valencia

13 S. Dimitrievski
6 Hugo Guillamón
21 Jesús Vázquez
3 Cristhian Mosquera
38 Iker Córdoba
18 Pepelu
10 André Almeida
23 Fran Pérez
32 Martín Tejón
17 Dani Gómez
30 Germán Valera
Bench (9)
24 Yarek Gąsiorowski
7 Sergi Canós
8 Javi Guerra
22 Luis Rioja
11 Rafa Mir
44 Ismael Santana
16 Diego López
42 W. Madrigal
1 Jaume Doménech

Coach: Rubén Baraja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Ortiz · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.