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Copa del Rey
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Ourense CF
U S
1–0
Full-time
La Coruna
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ourense CF La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celta 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Las Palmas 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Betis 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Vallecano 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Barbastro 2 2 0 0 +6 6
6 Valladolid 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Elche 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Huesca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Zaragoza 2 1 1 0 +4 4
10 Granada 2 1 1 0 +2 4
11 Yeclano 2 1 0 1 +5 3
12 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 Deportiva Minera 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +5 3
16 Girona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Unionistas de Salamanca 2 1 0 1 +3 3
18 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Espanol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 Vic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Barakaldo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Estepona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Zamora 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Conquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Ejea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Europa Fc 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Gimnastic 2 1 0 1 +0 3
52 Parla Escuela 2 1 0 1 +0 3
53 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Manises 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Sant Andreu 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
58 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Salamanca UDS 2 1 0 1 -6 3
60 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ponferradina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Oviedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Real Ávila 2 0 1 1 -2 1
69 San Tirso 2 0 1 1 -4 1
70 Gévora 2 0 1 1 -5 1
71 Ontiñena 2 0 1 1 -7 1
72 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Don Benito 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Xerez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Cuarte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Llanera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Levante 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
112 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
114 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -4 0
115 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
118 Tudelano 1 0 0 1 -5 0
119 Jove Español 1 0 0 1 -5 0
120 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ourense CF La Coruna
J. Ramos 🟨
12′
25′
🟨 H. Rama
Half-time 0–0
Xesc Fullana 🔁
↦ Jerin Ramos
46′
54′
🔁 Diego Villares
↦ Álex Alfaro
54′
🔁 Aarón Sánchez
↦ P. Martínez
I. del Olmo 🟨
56′
Ángel Sánchez 🔁
↦ Alejandro Fidalgo
62′
Javier Carbonell 🔁
↦ G. Di Renzo
62′
Álex Gil 🔁
↦ Iván del Olmo
62′
A. Sanchez 🟨
75′
75′
🔁 David Mella
↦ Hugo Rama
75′
🔁 Lucas Pérez
↦ J. Gauto
Fernando Andrada 🔁
↦ Miguel Prado
85′
1–0 Ángel Sánchez ⚽
87′
89′
🔁 Mario Soriano
↦ C. Patino
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ourense CF

13 P. Guillén
15 Álex Zalaya
4 Fran Carmona
5 Miguel Prado
17 Raúl Prada
8 Jerin Ramos
21 Josema Raigal
6 Alejandro Fidalgo
22 Jairo Noriega
14 Iván del Olmo
9 G. Di Renzo
Bench (7)
23 Xesc Fullana
20 Ángel Sánchez
7 Javier Carbonell
11 Álex Gil
2 Fernando Andrada
3 Hugo Sanz
1 Raúl Marqueta

Coach: Pablo López

La Coruna

1 Germán Parreño
4 P. Martínez
19 Jaime Sánchez
6 Álex Petxa
33 Rafael Obrador
11 Davo
22 Hugo Rama
28 C. Patino
37 Álex Alfaro
14 Cristian Herrera
16 J. Gauto
Bench (11)
8 Diego Villares
35 Aarón Sánchez
17 David Mella
7 Lucas Pérez
21 Mario Soriano
31 Pablo García
12 O. Mfulu
32 Kevin Sánchez
13 Eric Puerto
18 Sergio Escudero
15 Pablo Vázquez

Coach: Óscar Gilsanz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.